Research On The Development Of Walnut Industry In Hebei Province

Walnut is the first of the world’s four nuts (walnuts, almonds, hazelnuts,cashews),26provinces (cities, districts) have walnuts in China, By the end of2011,walnut production of Hebei province are96900tonnes and occupy fifth in China, fivecounties belong to Hebei Province in China’s42Walnut township, so walnut industryhas become a pillar industry of agriculture in Hebei Province. However, in recentyears, the walnut scale is growing and production is growing quickly, there are stillmany obstacles in the development process of walnut industry in Hebei Province.Study how to develop the walnut industry in Hebei Province is of great significancefor promoting the process of the development of modern agriculture in HebeiProvince, Increasing revenue of farmers, promoting the economic development ofmountainous rural areas in Hebei Province.In this paper, on the basis of characteristics of the walnut industry developmentin Hebei Province, find out existed problems, and further research on the fluctuationcharacteristics of Hebei walnut production and price, analyse the factors influencingthe development of walnut industry in Hebei Province, finally, put forward somecountermeasures to promote the development of walnut industry in Hebei province.From the current situation of the development of walnut industry in HebeiProvince, Hebei walnut production scale is expanding, area and production areincreasing, but the per unit yield is decreasing year by year, and widen the gap withnational yields, regional distribution is unreasonable, variety is messy; Hebei walnutindustry lags behind, deep finishing is in the low level; Hebei walnut sales channel issingle, international competitiveness is weak.Analyse production and price volatility, from the volatility of walnut productionin Hebei Province, walnut production fluctuations more frequently in Hebei Province,is a classical fluctuation, and every4.2years experience a cycle, systolic is longerthan the period of production expansion. From walnut price volatility of HebeiProvince, analysing the volatility of the price of walnut by the ARCH model, walnutPrice has obvious cluster, walnut market do not have characteristics of high risk andhigh reward, walnut price fluctuations do not exist symmetry. Analyzing influencing five factors of walnut industry in Hebei Province naturalfactors (climate and land), technical factors, industry factors, market factors andpolicy factors can influence the development of walnut industry in Hebei province.Finally, on the basis of the analysis in the walnut industry development in HebeiProvince, and further asked the walnut industry in Hebei Province reasonablesuggestions. For the smooth progress of the industrialization of the walnut industry inHebei Province processes to guide Hebei Province, is of great practical andfar-reaching strategic significance for developing walnut industry in Hebei Provinceand even the whole country.