Logistics And Financial Risks AHP-BP Comprehensive Evaluation Method Based On

Over the past few years, the logistics financial services developed rapidly athome and abroad, and take more and more attention. Logistics Finance is acombination of logistics and finance which is a multi-agent, multi-win service modeland innovative product. Many companies rush to carry out the business because it cantake great benefits for the participants. However, due to a weak sense of riskmanagement and low level of risk assessment, the third-party logistics enterprises arerestricted in the development of logistics financial business.Logistics and financial risk assessment study is developing rapidly currently, andsome evaluation methods have been applied to the actual work, but there are manyproblems, mainly reflected in:(a) study used a single subjective or objectiveanalysis methods;(2) evaluation index system inadequate;(3) data accessibility ispoor. These defects greatly affect the accuracy of risk assessment of logisticsfinancial services, and also restrict their development.This paper studies the applications of AHP-BP model for risk assessment whichis a combination of subjective and objective method. This method can not onlyovercome the shortcomings of single evaluation method, but also can significantlyimprove the availability of data by AHP. In the risk assessment index system, thispaper combined with pre-scholars study, business models processes and the actualworkers’ experience, which trying to establish a more comprehensive and practicalindicators system. This paper is divided into three parts: The first part includes thefirst three chapters, mainly research status, meanings, index system, as well as therelevant theoretical basis for the model; the second part is to build the model andempirical studies, the model proved by example practicality; the third part is the lackof this article and future research prospects.The first chapter focuses on the background, basis, meaning of this article. Thischapter proposes the purpose and research methods of this research, and introducesthe main innovation of this paper based on the study of the current status of logisticsfinancial risk assessment.The second chapter reviews the studies about the logistics financial riskassessment at home and abroad. By drawing on previous academic research, we try to find problems about the logistics financial risk assessment. The chapter concludes theAHP and BP neural network methods that are the theoretical base of AHP-BP model.The third chapter focuses on building the logistics financial risk evaluation indexsystem. This chapter establishes the index system mainly from the sources of the risk,and considers bank, SMEs and logistics’ risks. Combined with the mode of logisticsfinancial processes and study of pre-scholars, we try to establish a comprehensive,practical risk assessment index system which regard on practitioners’ workexperience.The fourth chapter describes the establishment of AHP-BP Model and CaseStudy. Firstly, the author concludes complementary of AHP and BP neural network;secondly, establishes the AHP-BP model. The purpose of single using of AHP is toquantify qualitative data, and the result will be as BP neural network sample data. Theauthor establishes the BP model based on AHP method. The author establishes the BPneural network model using the hyperbolic tangent function and the gradient descentfunction as the transmission function and feedback function. Finally, we will showthat validity of the model through empirical studies. We select MATLAB as thesimulation software.The fifth chapter is a summary of the full text, and summarized theshortcomings of the paper, and looked to the future direction of research.