Research On China’s Grain Import And Grain Security

The issue of grain security has always been a hot issue, especially for China, adensely populated country. Ensure national grain security is not only related to China’seconomic problems, more related to the political problem. For the protection of China’sfood security, China has been doing unremitting efforts, having achieved great results.In the research, a multiple liner regression model is used to analyze the determinedfactors of the grain production. A natural logarithmic equation and a linear equation areused for predicting China’s domestic grain demand gap in the next decade. It showsChina’s future food gap will be bigger and bigger；Then calculated the four major foodimport dependence agree and the imports concentration. The results show that there is lowimport dependence and a high imports concentration, so China should maintain anappropriate scale of imports and import structure. And according to the results, somepolicy about improving grain trade situation and ensuring grain security are proposed. TheChina’s food problems must be placed in the international environment, the grain trade willbe conducive to China’s food security. Therefore, the protection of China’s food securitymust start from the grain production mechanism, circulation mechanism, reservemechanism, the market system, food policy and constantly improve the food productionsystem, food security reserves system, the residents food safety system, food securitymarket system and food security policy, thus fundamentally solve the problem of foodsecurity of China.