The Studies Of Traffic Mode Choice Between Central City And Satellite City

With the development of China’s major cities,urban space gradually can not satisfied theneeds of the people’s production and life.Around these cities have sprung up a lot ofdependent or independent satellite city.By the prediction,due to the supporting facilities andthe size of satellite cities is more and more perfect.The traffic between central city andsatellite city will be gradually expanded.In order to seek the progress of the society andsatisfied the transportation between central city and satellite city.To configurat reasonabletraffic modes between city became a vital way.This paper based on the choice of traffic modebetween central city and satellite city as the research object,use qualitative method andquantitative methods to build traffic mode between central city and satellite city.In the first part of this content has introduced some concepts and features o f satellitecities.Including its functional,classification and development conditions. Besides,it has aimedat some research about satellite cities between domestic and foreign to lay the foundation forfollow-up studies.The middle section of this article has discussed the main prediction methods ofintercitys’ passenger flow and characteristics.Passenger flow prediction is the foundation ofthe traffic pattern configuration.We have discussed three prediction methods.Just Time seriesforecasting method,Category generated method and Regression analysis.By comparing theadvantages and disadvantages of these methods,we can draw that regression analysis to theattract and influence factors of passenger and cargo traffic volume relationship had a goodgrasp.It has a good practical considerations about the fluctuations factors of the forecast.So,this paper choose Regression analysis to predict the passenger flow.The core content of this paper is the city traffic patterns between the intercity. This partcan be divided into two steps:division and choice.First by analysis the main rail traffic androad traffic between cities to choose several reasonable transportation plan.Then using theevaluation method to choose the most reasonable choice about the mode of transportationbetween cities.In this paper,according to the selecting principle to select the gray correlationevaluation which is more objective and calculation process is more simpler.Then describe theindex and calculate the weight of indicators.At last,apply the theoretical knowledge to the choices of transportation mode aboutLanzhou to Baiyin.Analyse the calculation to verify the results. This part has a very importantpractical significance.