| Energy is an important factor of production, is the three largest industry rapiddevelopment material guarantee; energy is also a kind of important consumerinformation, is the people daily life essential. At present, the contention of the energyhas risen to the height of national strategy. Since reforming and opening, Yunnanprovince economy enters rapid growth period, along with economic and socialdevelopment, industrial energy and life to use can more and more big, but energyresources basically is the non-renewable, exhaustion. Therefore, how to utilize theenergy, how to effectively carry out the work of energy-saving emission reduction, toensure the sustainable development of economy, become Yunnan to save theextremely important research topic. Therefore, this paper establishes the first inYunnan province energy CGE model, try to above questions and research.This paper uses Yunnan province energy CGE model simulation technologyprogress, the energy price change of Yunnan province energy consumption, energyintensity and the influence of macroscopical economy. The full text is divided into sixchapters, as follows: the first chapter is introduction. Including research backgroundand significance, research methods and technical route, research and innovation,mainly on why choose this topic to answer. The second chapter literature review. Thefirst of the CGE model theory basis, production and application, development trendwere reviewed; the energy-saving policy theory, type and meaning, domestic andinternational energy policy are reviewed. The third chapter analysis on energyresource of Yunnan province. First on the Yunnan energy resources, production status,consumption status were introduced, then according to the current situation of energysupply and demand analysis, and points out the problems and tries to explain. Thefourth chapter of Yunnan province energy CGE model research. This chapter is thisarticle key point and difficult point in. Mainly consists of two parts: the one is theYunnan province energy SAM compilation, the other is Yunnan province energy CGEmodel. Establishment of the SAM process, the first of the SAM concept andconnotation, basic framework are described; followed by the SAM basic accounts aredescribed, each basic accounts contain the concept of the account, the line of theaccount, the column of the account, the balance of the account, the expand of theaccount, these five angle to explain, in order to better and deeper grasp each account for basic connotation, elaborated in this article the perspective is also an importantinnovation point; then in the former Syrian basis, the construction of Yunnanprovincial energy SAM, from SAM use, specific account settings, data sources,balance for construction, finally obtained the Yunnan province energy for SAM andthe show. Yunnan province energy SAM in Yunnan province is the most importantenergy CGE model data base, also be the important basis of structure model offormula. Model construction is mainly divided into six parts, including: the modelassumptions, overall framework, variables and parameters, equations system,parameter determination, algorithms and programming. The previous five parts is theuse of language, text and formulas in the form of model building and illustrated,algorithms and programming is part of the models using computer language toachieve. This is the first in Yunnan province energy CGE model, with a certain degreeof difficulty and practice the theory value. The fifth chapter of Yunnan provinceenergy saving policy simulation study of CGE model. In energy conservation policysimulation, simulated technological progress and energy price policy simulation, inthe each policy simulation conditions, the first is the assumption and the scene setting,and then through the model calculation results, then the policy simulation results. Thesixth chapter conclusion and policy suggestion. Different policy simulation results, toYunnan province ’s energy consumption, the energy intensity, energy prices and themacroeconomic impact of different, so as to Yunnan province to implementenergy-saving emission reduction policies provide some suggestions and ideas. |