The Unity Of Logic And History: An Important Dimension Of Technology Foresight

This paper tries to find out effective methods through the method of the unity of logic and history by analysing the system of the methodology of technology foresight to advance the applying level of the method of the unity of logic and history in technology foresight and enhance the consciousness of the main body of technology foresight. After doing this,it can improve the effectiveness of technology foresight.This paper mainly study the effect and influence of the method of the unity of logic and history in the processes of technology foresight and how to consciously use the method of the unity of logic and history in the processes of technology foresight practice, meanwhile giving the emphasis its status in the technology foresight system. This paper argues that the method of the unity of logic and history is an indispensable dimension of technology foresight and it is one of the keys to improve the effectiveness of technology foresight.This paper is divided into four parts:Part One:Based on the perspective the unity of logic and history we give a cognition to the definition of technology foresight and its actual value.Giving a further excavation of the connotation of the method of the unity of logic and history we advance the starting process,middle process and final process during the applying process of the method of the unity of logic and history in the technology foresight and elict the importance of the unity of logic and history in the technology foresight methodology.Part Two:From three angles of strategy of technology foresight,strategy structure of industry development and strategy of emerging technology,this part discuss the effect and influence of the method of the unity of logic and history in the system of technology foresight. The method of the unity of logic and history can supply support to strategy of technology foresight and supply principles to strategy structure of industry development,also supply guidances to strategy of emerging technology.Part Three:Based on the vision of the method of the unity of logic and history,this part revealthe connotation and value of the method of the unity of logic and history. Point out that following the unity of logic and history we advance the starting process,middle process and final process and plenty exerting the effect and influence of the principle of the combination of feedback and advance and the principle of the combination of analysis of advantages and disadvantages can deepen and strengthen various characteristics of technology foresight.Part Four:This part expand from two parts, the status of the method of the unity of logic and history in our country's technology foresight and its application in our country's technology foresight. From microcosmic view level, medium view level and macroscopical view level analyse the important status of the method of the unity of logic and history in our country's technology foresight and study the application and prospect of the method of the unity of logic and history in our country's technology foresight.The final conclusion gives the dissertation summary to the whole paper.