Dalian City Real Estate Is Cyclical Research

With our country's entering WTO, the dominant real estate industry has become prosperous in the rapid increase of economy and the continuous self-perfection of the market mechanism. However, as for macro-economy, the development of the real estate industry also shows a phenomenon of periodic fluctuation. Thus to analyze the fluctuation cycle not only has a theoretical significance but also can guide the development of the real estate industry in practice. We have to face squarely to the phenomenon of periodic fluctuation. As for Dalian's real estate industry, it has even more important practical significance to analyze factors that influence the fluctuation and to raise countermeasure accordingly.This article deals with the cycle of Dalian's real estate industry. There are three chapters as follows:In the first chapter, the concept of the fluctuation cycle in the real estate industry is identified by inducing, summarizing and reviewing the main theories on the cycle. Then the expand process of the fluctuation cycle and some indexes to estimate the cycle are analyzed.In the second chapter of the article, a case study on the cycle of Dalian's real estate industry is presented. The fluctuation pattern and main characteristics of the cycle of Dalian's real estate industry are discussed by choosing certain indexes that have close relationships with the development of the real estate industry, such as Diffusion Index (DI). After this, the cycle of Dalian's real estate industry is compared with China's real estate industry as well as with the cycle of macro-economy.In the third chapter of the article, factors that influence the cycle of Dlian's real estate industry are investigated, while the establishment of the macro adjustment and control system for the policy making in Dalian's realestate industry are discussed in detail. In the first part of the chapter, the influence of investment and the development of macro-economy on the cycle is analyzed. It is discussed how the development of the whole real estate industry has influenced the cycle of Dalian's real estate industry. In the second part, according to these factors that influence the fluctuation, a measure which promotes a stable development of Dalian's real estate industry is proposed in terms of making macro-economic and industrial policies. A conclusion is drawn that it is important to create a favorable environment governed by laws for a stable development of the real estate industry. It is proposed that, in order to take precaution against the negative influence of the cycle, the government needs to establish a prosperity index system to monitor the fluctuation cycle of the real estate industry.