The Cycle Of Real Estate Industry

The experiences of economic growth and development in many countries indicate that economic fluctuation is a concomitant phenomenon of economic growth. Like macroeconomic , the development of real estate industry also shows a phenomenon of periodic fluctuation . To analyze the cycle of real estate industry , not only has a creative significance in theory , but also can guide the development of real estate industry in practice . As for the healthy and steady development of real estate industry in china, it is of more important practical significance to analyze the internal mechanism and the main external factors that influence the cycle of real estate industry and raise anti-cycle measures.My study on the cycle of real estate industry in this thesis consists of three parts as follows:In the first part of the thesis , I summarize and review the main opinions concerning the cycle of macroeconomic and real estate industry . Then , I substantiate the existence of the cycle of real estate industry in china by positivist research . This part is composed of the first three chapters . In the first chapter , I briefly analyze the background of research , and the thesis of research . In the second chapter , I sum up the train of thought and measures in research in the basis of summarizing the actuality of real estate industry. In the third chapter , I utilize real estate integration boom index model and analyze the specific process and main characteristics of the cycle of real estate industry by positivist research.In the second part of the thesis, I analyze the internal mechanism and the main external factors that influence the cycle of real estate industry . This part consists of chapter 4 to chapter 7 . In the fourth chapter , I analyze the internal mechanism of the cycle of real estate industry from the angle of the combination of external shock and internal conduction , and study the influence of economic variables . In the fifth chapter, I focus on discussing the influences of macroscopical policies on the cycle of real estate industry . In the sixth chapter, I analyze the financial policies .In the third part of the thesis , I raise the anti-cycle strategy and establish early warning system . In the seventh chapter , I raise the anti-cycle strategy and indicate that it is necessary for the Government to establish early warning system . In the eighth chapter, I summarize the whole thesis.