Analysis And The Development Trend Of China's Communications Industry

The first part of paper macroscopically introduces the history of the communication industry development and the current situation of global communication industry. The aim is to make one macroscopic description and qualitative analysis of the whole communication industry. Firstly, the paper analyses the international communication industry's peculiar industry characteristic in terms of history, and the process from the monopolized to the competition; deep to analyze the issue that international communication industry runs into, and the reason to produce; describes the bright prospect of the development of communication industry. Then the paper discuss the present situation of the communication industry of our country from several respect; analyses the advantage and insufficient among the evolution of communication industry of our country, and the opportunity and challenges that the whole communication industry faces after joining WTO.In the second part, the paper introduces one mathematics model which is suitable for predicting the trends of future development of communication industry in detail, and concrete modeling method. Several typical areas in the communication industry in our country such as the situation telephone diffusion rate, the fixed telephone scale, the internet user size, the mobile communication business incoming, to analysis and predict the development trends using block increase model are carried on the instance analysis. On the basis of mathematics model and instance analysis, the end of the paper discusses and predicts the future development trend of the communication industry in our country.