As the real estate industry has been the mainstay of national economy, it is important to ensure its health development. Scientific early warning system of real estate market is helpful to the healthy development of real estate industry as it can offer reference to the market players, including the macro-control of government. But the current research of early warning of real estate market can not reflect the complex relationship between warning indicators and degree of alarm and loss the veracity of warning. So this thesis intrducts which is the experience that running a course of history to real estate business analyses, capital the choice passing index system with a view to and building-up studying, revealing the concrete index and real estate business to run the population situation and part characteristic inner link, accuracy being run the situation and part characteristic change in connection with real estate business population judges, problem carries out analysis on lurking field and adopts a countermeasure, face to face, the person makes the correct forecast out along power and the health appraising , adopting thereby continuing for regulating and controlling measure, promoting industry's works.Analysis studying current situation's first , because of the real estate early warning of home and abroad, combine period fluctuation theory early warning theory each other, have structured the theory platform that early warning studies owing to undulate real estate of period , have summed up the basic concept , base and fundamental method having summed up real estate early warning. On the basis carrying out contrast studies's on original in the homeland real estate of all kinds index system, have ascertained principle and the qualitative analysis being in progress that the real estate early warning index chooses, and have chosen the ZhengZhou real estate market early warning index system ,which including the absolute index and the relative index. And design that the essential brings forward a tentative plan combining with computer art. The population truss and exploitation to Zheng Zhou City real estate market early warning system, the interface designs that respectively to systematic structure, system as well as system technological process is in progress. Studying and their application analyses the quantify model and the method determining the nature secondly, carrying out real estate market early warning system. Analytical result carries out parallel analysis on ZhengZhou real estate market early warning quantify model, develops a characteristic with a view of and ZhengZhou real estate market reality, the complement carrying out early warning analyses, the synthetical early warning taking form analyses a conclusion, and suggest that relevance policy regulates and controls suggestion ultimately. Analytical result of demonstration and the reality basic that ZhengZhou real estate develops fit, the real estate early warning system indicating item research institute building-up has an effect to be able to be carried out, theoretical analysis is sufficient,.be that the real estate market guiding and regulating and controlling has provided the science basis. |