The Development Of Urban Economy And Power Demand Forecasting

When the urban economy develops to some phase,the urban electricity shows correlative characteristics because of the limit of the level of economy.It has the theoretic and realistic significance to study how to forecast the urban power demand considering the development of urban economy.In this paper,the characteristics of Beijing's economy are analyzed from development level of economy and factors of industrial structure,and so on.Then the influence to urban electricity,which is aroused by economy phases,is discussed.Secondly, based on the Maximum Entropy Method,it gives an elementary study and discussion of interaction between the electric power and the economy cycles in Chinese typical cities.The results show that the electricity consumption and economy growth has long-term co integration relation.Finally,based on cellular automata theory,the power demand forecasting model is established,in which the urban economic factors are considered and the relationship of urban electricity and economy is reflected indirectly.