Enterprise independence innovation is the important strategic requirement which is brought in the fifth plenary session of the 16th central committee of CPC and the outline of"11th five-year"plan, the support of the government and success cases make independence innovation popular. Considering the uncertain factors and risks during the independence innovation process, it is necessary to do further research of the risk factors and the evaluation, which can avoid the blindfold innovation.This paper aims to establish the risk index system of the independence innovation, and evaluate the risk of innovation project on the basis of the china's independence innovation in order to enhance the enterprises'innovation ability, and help enterprises to avoid the innovation risk, found the innovation system. This paper first discuss the significant and frame of the study, fully analysis the risk factors during the innovation process in two parts, the system risks and non-system risks, also refer to seven risk factor include environmental risk factor, social risk factor, technological risk factor, marketing risk factor, managing risk factor, producing risk factor, financial risk factor, which is the theoretical foundation of risk evaluation. And then fractionize the seven first-level index into fifty-two second-level index, and establish the risk index system of independence innovation. Secondly, construct the quantitative and qualitative analysis model of multiple fuzzy evaluation through fuzzy transform. Combine the innovation project of certain high-tech company, some suggestions are given in the end after quantitative and qualitative analyzing. Finally, according to the innovation actuality, give the risk management measures to facilitate the development of independence innovation. |