The Research Of Predictability Evaluation System About The Real Estate Market In Shanghai

As the real estate market of Shanghai developing for more than 10 years, the historical data has accumulated enough for analyzing the regulation of real estate and expose the problems. Especially after the settlement of internet real estate by the Shanghai government, there is a great improvement in the aspects of sources, structures and truth of the data.Facing with so complicated and abundant data, some systems of real estate market have been set up in our country, such as national property booming exponent and China property exponent, etc. But though these value systems can make some certitude and forecast for the running statement and trend of real estate market, they cannot supply reasonable alert situation prediction.It is still big vacancy that researching about the alert prediction comment systems in real estate. Therefore, this task assumes that by referring kinds of research on alert prediction systems and some related production of theories and methods application, the task can make some initial research about alert prediction systems of the real estate in Shanghai.The article first put forwards that it is of great meaning to study the predictability evaluation system about the market of real estate by analyze different kinds of the evaluation system about the market of real estate. So on the basis of analyzing the conceptions, theories and models that could be used, indexes are selected not only based on the objectives of the evaluation system, principles to choose indexes, meaning of the indexes but also by comparing different kinds of indexes. Secondly the method of 3 6 is used to set up the standards that is intend to evaluate the market of real estate, the evaluation system is founded after that. Then the evaluation system will be put into the practice to evaluate the real estate market about Shanghai and suggestions will be offered. Finally, after the innovations and the shortages of the predictability evaluation system about the market of real estate in Shanghai will be pointed out, ideas to improve will also be brought forward.