| The paper analyze logistic theory,study of the present situation of the logistics industry in Hunan Province,evulate the comprehensive of logistics of Hunan Province. Base on this evulation, how to develop the logistics industry is presented.At first, paper discuss the origin conception of logistics,the borderline the theory of logistics,the content of industry of logistic, then introduce the logistics status of abroad and at home. Analysis of the present situation of the logistics industry in Hunan Province and remaining problems.Paper select sixteen factors which influence the development of logistics in Hunan set up the system of comprehensive evaluation of regional logistics development. Use the principal component analysis method in order to build the evaluation model. Based on this we can get the position of the component and the logistics industry in Hunan. The conclusion tells us that the first and the second principal components in Hunan in 2005 are got third. the logistics industry in Hunan in 2001 to 2005 are got third too.Next,paper study the logistics volume of demand factor which composed of the logistics scale factors and logistics demandfactor.For the first one, the paper use the Viaunary linear regression and Grey dynamic model analyze method to forecast the cargo transfer volume and contrast them. For the second one, the paper consult many of documentaries to analysis it with qualitative analysis method. The conclusion is Hunan has a great development in logistic demand.Base on the study first,there are four factors which influence the development of logistics in Hunan and proposes some ways to develop the logistic of Hunan Province. |
PDF Full Text Request