The Situation Analysis And Prediction About China's Labor Force Participation Rate

Economists widely believed that a country or a region's economic growth mainly by the four aspects: namely the influence of human resource, natural resources, technology and capital. These four factors interact with so as to affect economic growth. And labor as a production factor is an important part of human resources on the one hand, the important factors, so whether in traditional economy still modern economy, labor, labor supply plays a very important role, is an important source of economic growth. Labor supply main subject to two factors: labor amount and labor participation. But because of historical reasons, China's large population base, population growth has enormous inertia, which the country's total population and labor itself has large relative stability, short-term inside hard to change. And in population and labor total base bigger premise falls, the labor participation will bring a little change of the total amount of labor supply significant changes.Based on the statistical data collection and collation, the paper will be divided into six parts. The first part is the preface, mainly on labor participation background analysis, then puts forward the subject research of purpose and meaning. The second part is about to labor participation from a theory, reviews the theoretical research from the perspectives of the domestic and foreign experts and scholars for the participation of labor theory research, The third part of the labor participation in China were described, and the present situation and trend of change with foreign indexes corresponding contrast. Start from the overall description, and then point's gender, age, points compared respectively zone lines. The fourth part is by the third part of comparative analysis of China labor participation rate reason for changes, the fifth part is in the participation rate above labor fluctuant circumstance and causes on the basis of analysis, using prediction model predicted China's future labor participation. The final parts of the prediction of future labor participation give evaluation and conclusion.Although many experts and scholars both at home and abroad to labor participation made many research, but for the participation rate age-specific labor tendency in the future research is still not fully and not a very good model is validated. This paper will through the domestic and international each age mode of labor comparison, using the participation rate los jet conversion related analysis method, and then choose a standard model for future age-specific labor participation gives a judgment. For points age-specific labor participation is the trend of research for our country in the future, it is the labor supply to provide a scientific basis, and from the demographic speaking with theoretical innovative sense.