Political And Economic Analysis Of The Reasons Of Doha Agricultural Negotiation's Delay

Doha Round, the World Trade Organization (WTO) Fourth Ministerial Conference held in Qatar's capital-Doha in November 2001, which launched a new round of multilateral trade negotiations, be noticed that the main purpose of the agricultural negotiations is to promote the agricultural trade, providing a relative relaxed and fair trade environment and then to promote global agriculture levels.Agriculture is the foundation of a country's economy and the cornerstone of people's livelihood, facing the fierce competition from international market, how to take effective and active strategy and plans according to the China's actual conditions is more important. China is a large agriculture country, which has a huge population base and output, but refer to the per capital, it's poor, so the issue should cause our attention. Facing the new round of agricultural negotiation process, we need to do more homework.As for the agriculture negotiation, the Doha Round on agriculture mainly covers market access,domestic support and export competition. However, as the WTO members'continual increasing, the changing international trade environment, added the different national conditions. So even facing the same subject, there will be different proposals and ideas. It's difficult to adjust to satisfy each member of the WTO.it's evitable to make much conflict, which make the negotiation's procession far from the original plan, during the period, there are some frustrations and setbacks or even deadlock.During the procession,several major interest groups dominate the development trend of the Doha Round,in which the United States, the Cairns Group, G10, G20 Group and the European Union have a representative influence in the discussion as for the major issues. They aim to maintain the countries (the region) substantial interests, putting different measures to promote their economic development. Which directly resulted in the difficulty of the negotiation? Such as on the issue of domestic support, the United States thought the EU's amount was higher than the required level, who should take initiative measures to cut 75%, the United States and Japan, listed in the middle level, should corresponding deduct 53%, the developing countries 31%. G10 and G20 groups also agreed the three-level approach and agreed rates were 75%/80%,65%/75%,50% and 70%. As for this issue, EU's attitude is himself cut 70%, the United States and Japan 60%, the remaining members 45%. It's clearly to see that many members have reached a specific agreement on a certain degree, but there are also many contradiction during the implementation process, the result may not perform smoothly as expected, it is just the the reason why Doha Development Agenda process is so slow and difficult.Although progress of Doha Round agricultural negotiations is far from the original schedule, confronting much frustration, but its holding meets the economic development trend, in line with the most members'interest requirement. So the major groups actively promote the Doha Round to return the track to reach the new achievements. Therefore, analyze and study the development of the Doha Round agricultural negotiations, for the countries to better participate the negotiation, seek strategies consistent with national development need and promote their national or regional economic development has a positive strategic significance.Meanwhile, facing the globalization and the challenges from strong competitors, China, as the representative of the developing countries and the new member of the WTO, we need to possess the international perspective and thinking style, we need to carefully analyze and research the process to make adequate preparations. Thus we can occupy a proper place in the world stage.This article analyze factors and supply the relative prediction according to the Doha Round process, give a direction for the future development based on its trend. By discuss the core issues to clear the negotiation's focus and its trend. By the economic analysis of the Doha Agriculture Negotiation, find the instinct reason behind the negotiation, at the same time, absorb other countries'experience to supply better conditions for the agriculture development, lift the China's overall economic ability and catch up the speed of the negotiation process.