The Research Of Development Trend Of Nuclear Industry Based On Combined Forecasts

With economic development, the improvement of human consciousness and frequency of extreme weather, there is growing attention to environmental protection and sustainable economic development.Economic development is inseparable from the demand for electricity, nuclear power as a clean energy, with mature technology, safe and reliable and strong supplying advantages. Development of nuclear power is a major strategic initiative to meet national electricity demand, optimizing energy structure, ensure energy security, promoting sustainable economic development. According to China released a "long-term nuclear power development plan (2005-2020)", by 2020, China's installed capacity of nuclear power is aimed for 4,000 million kilowatts, and authorities are on the "planning" adjustment, the installed capacity is expected to be further improved.As long cycle of nuclear power project, the investment giant, to prevent nuclear development, "overheating", it is necessary for rational planning of construction of nuclear power station. The thesis is based on the combination of gray and time series forecasting model to predict electricity consumption in Hunan Province, and confirmed validity of the model through data, proposed construction of nuclear power capacity limit certain period of time, to propose construction of nuclear power based on the balance between consumption and generating.