A Study Of The Time-Space Distribution Of Land Use General Planning Index

Land problem has been an important social and economic issue, which is shared by allcountries throughout the world. In order to dispose of the problem, every countryemphasizes the importance of land use planning. The conflict among population resourcesenvironment and development is more and more aculeate. The land use planning which isscientific and effective, is an important measure to accelerate the harmonious developmentbetween city and rural area, and also is an important measure to ensure the sustainabledevelopment of economy and society. Although our government has implemented threetimes land use planning, the study of land use planning index space-time distribution is anew study point in the area of land use planning study. Now a new round of land useplanning has been making, so it has important realistic meaning for the author to discuss thedistribution of land use planning index from the point of space-time view.This thesis relies on the study of the land use general planning of Jinan. Aftersummarizing the related theories and methods of land use planning distribution, the authorcombines the time simulation and the space simulation use the space-time conceptionmodel. Based on the space-time distribution model, taking Jinan for a example, the authorfirstly analyses the influence factors, then constructs the time simulation SD model, whichcalculates three scenarios. Using the CLUE-S model, the time distribution and the spacedistribution are combined successfully. The results of the space distribution scenarios canbe showed in the Arcview.Full thesis chiefly includes several aspects as follows:At first part, the background, the meaning and the purpose of thesis are firstly madeclear, and then the present study and practice at home and abroad are briefly reviewed. Atthe end of this part the author shows the study thought and the structure frame of the fulltext.At second part: after introducing the problems of the index distribution of land usegeneral planning, the author summarizes the theories and methods which related to thespace-time distribution of land use planning index distribution.In the part of the time distribution, the author introduces the basic theory of SystemDynamics and the process to structure SD model. Based on analyzing the factors whichimpact on the index distribution, the author makes a time distribution model using a SystemDynamics software----Powersim, which has powerful functions. And then the author, takingJinan for example, makes up the SD flow chart for time distribution of the land use generalplanning index. The author proves the precision of the SD model using the data from 1996to 2003, then makes three scenarios of the time distribution using the data of 2004 as thesimulation start year.In the fourth part of the paper, the author combines the time distribution and the spacedistribution by the CLUE-S model. Based on the three scenarios of the time distribution inthe third part, the author, taking Changqing region of Jinan for example, simulates the spacedistribution of the land use general planning index. CLUE-S model calculates the results ofthe space distribution from 2005 to 2020 of each time distribution scenario. Then the authoranalyzes the results from two aspects: one is the distributing changes of each type of landuse in each scenario;the other is the distribution analysis among the three scenarios.Finally, the author briefly sums up the major conclusions of the thesis, gives someadvise and assume in future.