To solve the little sample, less data, incomplete information and devoid experience of uncertain problems, the traditional mathematics model is not the best. The yield of reed prediction is a case in point. Compared with traditional methods, grey system theory has obvious advantages in dealing with inadequate information and uncertain problems. The author has made a research on the yield of reed prediction by using grey system theory and builds a grey mathematics model. Further more, the author discusses the theories on the set up of the model, seeking solution of the reference, model test etc and studies 2-AGO data generating and rolling check importantly. Combined with the practical analysis and compared of the data in the previous years, the author finishes the arithmetic design of prediction to the yield of reed based on MATLAB. The results of study show that it is practicable to introduce theory of grey system in the yield of reed prediction and has notable advantages like simplicity, low computing and high reliability. |