Study On Olympic Economic Shock Model

《Study on Olympic Economic Shock Model》 aims at applying the complex adaptive system theory and the last progress in the study of Olympic economic shock.Economists made a flood of researches on different types of economic shock and conduct mechanism. Because of influenced by traditional economic theories, they adopted modeling methods based on dynamics. These models based on statistical gross analysis cannot explain how economic shock impacts on economic agents. Therefore, they can't exactly explain conduct mechanism of shock.In recent years, developments of the complex adaptive system theory put forward a clear method of solution for the study of macroeconomic shock. The evolving process of macroeconomic emerges from the economic system according to the interaction among agents and environment. Macroeconomic shock impacts directly on agents and environment, and then the change of their interaction relation induces the regular change of the whole evolving process of macroeconomic. Therefore, the complex adaptive system theory has particular advantage on explaining the inherent mechanism of macroeconomic shock.Olympic Games will bring an enormous number of tourists and create a great and special Olympic demand, especially for third industries. These demands will accelerate basic capital construction and develop related industries. But it will also bring negative effects, i.e., create downturn and result in economic fluctuate. The main problem of study on Olympic economic shock model is to weaken its negative effects. The main work is summarized as follows:To build a computational industrial structure model based on agents aiming at dynamic game relation between industrial structures and1) tourists.2) To establish an Olympic economic shock model based on computational model of the complex adaptive system theory.3) To build an artificial experimental platform via Swarm.4) To analyze Olympic impact and strategies' effects on economy, then provide theory foundation for decision-making.This paper emphasizes particularly on distilling characters of dynamic game in the Olympic economic shock system and builds a computational model based on agents. Francessco Luna(2000) applied mathematical mapping of unknowable character of dynamic game relation in the market supply and demand relation model, provides a new idea and method for building a computational model of dynamic game relation between industrial structures and tourists.We can observe some things, such as outputs changes of three active industries including gym industry, culture industry and tourism, situations about industries' resources consume and tourists' demands satisfaction under different hypotheses through regulating and changing simulation parameters of Olympic economic shock artificial experimental platform.