Prediction Of Structural Construction Safety

Construction industry is one of the principle industries of the national economy. With the rapid development of national economy, the construction industry has gained amazingly quick development in recent years. There happened many accidents in the constructing and the number of the accidents in one year takes on an ascending trend. In this paper, construction enterprise safety in the construction process according to a certain safety scientific approaches, steps, relevant code, statute, criterion, etc. thus, it can provide scientific evidence for safety assessment.By synthetically using safety engineering, trend extrapolation, equivalent AR model with a higher model Grey Theory Forecast for construction safety indicators from the static and dynamic aspects, reference foreign security indicators, building structure safety indicators. The following are the main study contents.(1) Analyzed structural system by a time series model, the trend extrapolation, and grey theory. Predict the number of the serious accident and the casualty from 2008 to 2010. Discussion basic principles of time series model, and AR (p) has improved.(2) With the trend extrapolation respectively, with mortality rates of casualty, the index functions to be combined to establish the corresponding model, proposed the construction of security targets.(3) While analyzing the present situation of safety producing and safety management and introducing the experience or the safety management in the developed countries, point out imminently to establish a new system of safety management in the construction industry .establish the tree of construction of building analysis of fatal: casualty Rate. Estimated the rate of million casualty generally...