| As an important means to practice the "Two Mountains Theory" in the new era,promote the transformation and development of the forestry industry and realize the value of forest ecological products,the under-forest economy has been highly valued by the Party and the state: the "No.1 Central Document" in 2021 once again regarded the under-forest economy as an important measure to promote rural revitalization.The key state-owned forest area in Heilongjiang Province is the base of the most concentrated distribution,the richest biodiversity and the most important ecological safety,and it is also the underdeveloped area of economic development.The under-forest economic industry has developed into one of the important industries in the transformation and development of the key state-owned forest area.However,hampered by the conditions of regional resource endowment,business environment and weak industrial development power,the development of under-forest economic industry in key stateowned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province is not optimistic.What is the development level of understory economy in key state-owned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province and what factors affect it? What kind of change does its spatial layout show,how should develop again? How can we promote the high-quality development of understory economic industry by relying on suitable industries? These are instant questions that need to be answered.However,it is still a new field to scientifically judge and systematically identify regional under-forest economic development layout and industrial suitability,especially lacking of dynamic and quantitative research based on management theory,combined with interdisciplinary research paradigm,considering understory economy and its appropriate industries.Undergrowth,therefore,to carry out the key state-owned forest region in Heilongjiang province economic development layout and industrial suitability recognition research,not only conducive to the development of state-owned forest areas out of the green,the industrial new way to get rich,also help to promote the forestry economic management,enterprise management and the depth of the spatial econometrics crossover study,have certain academic value and decision-making reference value.This study systematically combs the relevant literature at home and abroad,based on the analysis of the current situation and existing problems of under-forest economic industry in key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang province,puts forward from the perspective of industrial development layout and industrial suitability identification,researches ideas to improve the level of economic and industrial development in state-owned forest areas,exclusives research perspective.First of all,combined with economic growth theory,economic development theory and the unique ecological dependence of under-forest economy,the economic development level measurement of key state-election areas in Heilongjiang Province was finally determined,input,capital input,output and development.The main evaluation indexes of the development level of under-forest economic industry in key state,forest areas in Heilongjiang province were obtained.Based on the research results of experts and scholars at home and abroad,after fully considering the purpose of this paper,the evaluation system of under-forest economic development level is constructed by selecting the under-forest economic development structure,capital input,and output and benefit as the secondary evaluation of the system.The subjective and objective evaluation model of the combination of G1 method and entropy weight method is used to evaluate the under-forest economic development level of state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province.The research shows that in 2021,the development level of under-forest economy in Heilongjiang Province is in the upper middle stage as a whole,but there is still room for improvement.Among them forestry bureau develops better basically because of three factors.First,the industrial structure of under-forest economy is reasonable and the contribution of output benefit is large.Secondly,it has a larger output benefit scale,a higher level of ecological investment scale and capital investment scale.Thirdly,there is a better forest economic development structure and ecological investment scale.However,there are still values far below the average range,mainly due to the reduction of investment in forestry infrastructure and the reduction of forest tending area.Secondly,based on the theory of spatial economics,by studying the spatial correlation and applying the global and local Moran’s I index,this paper used global and local Moran’s I index to analyze and optimize the development of the development of its history and industry in state-owned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province,and sorted out the layout characteristics and local spatial characteristics of understory economy development.The spatial dependence relationship among different forestry regions was analyzed,and the spatial weight matrix of the development level of understory economy and industry was constructed.The spatial global autocorrection Moran’s I index and the local spatial autocorrection Moran’s I index are constructed.Using the global and local Moran index method,the spatial analysis and optimization of the development layout of understory economy and industry in the state-owned forest region of Heilongjiang Province were carried out,and the layout characteristics and local spatial characteristics of understory economy development were sorted out.The research shows that: on the whole,the global Moran index from 2015 to 2021 shows that there is a positive spatial correlation between the forest administrations,and the spatial agglomeration characteristics are obvious.Ecological scale input of all forestry bureaus in Heilongjiang Province has distinct logical relationship with each other and is related.Through the analysis of time change trend and regional change trend of ecological input of forestry bureau,it can be seen that the input to ecological scale of key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang province has a tendency of aggregation.During the period of 2015 to 2021,there is no obvious pattern in the changing trend of capital input benefit scale.All forestry burets in Heilongjiang Province showed a certain degree of imbalance in capital input.From 2015 to 2021,the output benefit scale of key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang Province showed spatial heterogeneity.The understory economic development structure of key state-owned forest areas in Heilongjiang province has agglomeration characteristics.At the local level,the horizontal analysis shows that the central and northern regions of Heilongjiang Province are mainly highlow agglomeration areas,while the forestry bureau in the low-low agglomeration mode appears in the eastern region,and the development of understory economy is restricted and the development degree is lower than the average level.Longitudinal analysis of understory economic development levels in Heilongjiang Province.In the central and northern regions of Heilongjiang Province,they are spatially clustered,showing a highly clustering trend,while the southern region of Heilongjiang Province shows a low clustering feature.According to the analysis,the longitudinal characteristics of ecological input in key state-owned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province from 2015 to 2021 shows significant differences in ecological input.In the aspect of capital input of understory economy in Heilongjiang Province,the northern forestry bureau reduced the input and the central Forestry Bureau increased the input.From2015 to 2021,the understory economic development structure of Forestry Bureau in key stateowned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province showed a tendency of low aggregation due to the migration of the primary industry of understory economy from north to east.The output benefit of the understory economy in state-owned forest area is transferred from the original high value areas in the south and the north to the central area at the same time.Thirdly,on the basis of expounding the theoretical basis of the suitable industry of underforestry economy in the key state-owned forest regions of Heilongjiang Province,the research start from the three regional characteristics of the whole region industry,regional industry and typical forestry bureau,the leading industry and secondary industry suitable for the underforestry economy in the key state-owned forest regions of Heilongjiang Province are identified,which provides a suitable industry reference for the high-quality and efficient development of under-forestry economy in the key state-owned forest regions of Heilongjiang Province.The results show that the development trend of the leading industries of the under-forest economy in the provincial key state-owned forest areas calculated by the grey prediction GM(1,1)model shows that under-forest planting,under-forest breeding,north medicine,forest food,forest tourism and under-forest processing are the six leading industries.Through the secondary industry suitability identification of the six leading industries,the basic industries,advantageous industries,potential industries and eliminated industries of the under-forest economy in the key state-owned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province were obtained.Through the identification of regional industrial suitability,the research concluded that under-forest planting and under-forest breeding are the dominant industries of the under-forest economy of the forestry bureau in the northern part of the key state-owned forest area.The development measures of the under-forest economy industry of the forests in the central region should be bigger and stronger.Advantageous industries,consolidate the development momentum of potential industries,consolidate the development momentum of basic industries,scientifically,effectively and accurately layout various industries of under-forest economy,and promote the quality and efficiency of under-forest industries.Understory planting,understory breeding,northern pharmaceutical industry,forest food and forest tourism in the basic industries of forestry bureaus in the southern region are in an average development trend.As potential industries,under-forest planting,under-forest breeding,northern medicine,forest food and under-forest processing industry are all in the momentum of development.Finally,the QCA qualitative analysis model is established to judge the full necessity of the development path of the under-forest economy in Heilongjiang Province.On the basis of the previous analysis,the different path choices of the development of the under-forest economy industry in Heilongjiang Province under the comprehensive influence of many influencing variables are sorted out.Based on the analysis of theoretical variables,a basic steady-state development path and four alternative steady-state development paths of under-forestry economic industry in Heilongjiang Province were obtained by us through calculation model results.Based on the logical relationship of the model,the specific path selection of different steady-state development paths in the development process of different regional forestry bureaus was analyzed by us.Combined with the transformation or transition path in the steady state,the external factor identification analysis is carried out.This paper designs the guarantee system for the optimal layout and development of under-forest economy industry in key stateowned forest areas of Heilongjiang Province from seven aspects : thought,organization,technology,capital,policy,talent and environment. |
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