Differential Game Analysis Of International Joint Anti-Terrorism Strategy

Due to the increasingly frequent movement of terrorists,the anti-terrorism intelligence held by various member states of the international anti-terrorism coalition is inconsistent,and the anti-terrorism strength and technical level of each country are uneven.The international community needs to strengthen counter-terrorism intelligence sharing,equipment/technical assistance and cooperation among combatants to jointly combat terrorist organizations.In particular,with the development of science and technology,terrorists show new characteristics such as good concealment,sophisticated equipment and advanced technology.In addition,individual countries(especially the developing countries)are becoming more and more powerless in the face of terrorists with new characteristics,so the governments need to strengthen cooperation.Combating and defending terrorists with new characteristics is not only a matter of strengthening cooperation,but also a matter of choosing the mode of cooperation.How to attack and defend terrorists and how to invest anti-terrorism resources to achieve the maximum social benefits is an important management problem studied in this paper.Therefore,This paper constructs a differential game of anti-terrorism cooperation based on intelligence sharing,war-fighter cooperation and equipment/technical assistance,coordinated action and unified command.The equilibrium decision-making and social welfare functions of developing and developed countries under different cooperation modes are obtained,and the applicable conditions of various anti-terrorism cooperation approaches are compared.The main research work of this paper is as follows:(1)Countries can control the two variables of attack degree and defense degree,and fight terrorists through two modes of free and paid anti-terrorism intelligence sharing.In order to study the effect of anti-terrorist intelligence effect against terrorism,the paper constructs the governments independently obtain counter-terrorism intelligence and counter-terrorism intelligence sharing and gratis counter-terrorism intelligence paid Shared differential game model,it is concluded that the balance of three modes of countries hit level,degree of defense and the function of social welfare,and compared to draw foreign aid weapons share accounted for the proportion of their total share,degree of developed countries for their own terrorist attack on the relationship between the anti-terrorism intelligence cooperation mode,how to put limited resources for all countries,which provides reference for counter-terrorism intelligence cooperation effectively.(2)Terrorists more frequently use high-tech means to serve their terrorist activities.and the high-tech content of terrorist equipment and equipment is becoming increasingly high.Terrorist groups are increasingly using new technologies,such as social media,encrypted communications and the dark web,not only to radicalize new terrorist recruits,but also to plan attacks.No nation is immune to this threat,and no nation can meet it alone.On the basis of different technical levels mastered by different countries,technical assistance by developed countries to developing countries can not only improve the effect of attack,but also reduce the loss of terrorist attacks,so as to further improve the security environment of developed countries themselves.In this study,a differential game model is constructed for the independent research and development of anti-terrorism equipment/technology,strike equipment/technical assistance and security equipment/technology.The balanced strike degree,balanced defense degree and social benefits under each state are worked out,and the applicable scope of various anti-terrorism equipment/technical cooperation modes is compared and analyzed.It provides a reference for countries to carry out anti-terrorism equipment/technology cooperation effectively.(3)Terrorist organizations are becoming increasingly networked,transnational and globalized,and terrorist organizations such as A1 Qaeda,ISIS and ETIM are moving among countries.The military aid of developed countries to developing countries helps to reduce the gap between their weapons and equipment,which plays a very effective role in developing countries to fight against transnational terrorism.Considering that developed countries can cooperate with combatants to assist developing countries in fighting against terrorists or provide equipment/technology assistance,this study constructs a differential game model of governments acting alone,combatants cooperating and equipment/technology assistance.In this paper,we get the equilibrium hit degree,resource input and social benefits of developing and developed countries under the three models.The applicable conditions of various anti-terrorism cooperation approaches are compared.(4)As the international community faces more difficult terrorists,such as the transition from ground to underground,from visible to invisible,and from concentrated destruction to "Lone Wolf" attacks,all countries need to jointly combat and defend terrorists.Although the coordinated action of counter-terrorism mode can promote national counter-terrorism resources input to terrorist attack and defense,but relative to the unified command mode,it is low,the effect of the terrorism and national unified command mode while can improve the efficiency and effectiveness of combat,but be likely to lead to shirk responsibility and "free rider" behavior.How to choose the cooperation mode of anti-terrorism action is an important problem to be solved in this study.Therefore,this paper constructs a differential game model of countries' independent attack and defense against terrorists,coordinated action and unified command,and makes a comparative analysis of them,and draws conclusions about how the losses caused by terrorist activities and the gains gained by units from military strikes affect the choice of anti-terrorism cooperation mode.Based on the new characteristics of the four terrorist activities mentioned above,in order to clearly depict the whole process of counter-terrorism in the time dimension,this paper studies the counter-terrorism cooperation by using the time-continuous differential game,and makes a comparative analysis of various counter-terrorism cooperation modes.This study provides new theoretical support and decision support for promoting governments' cooperation in anti-terrorism and exploring the applicable scope of various cooperation modes,and enriches the practical application and theoretical system in the field of emergency anti-terrorism management.