| Tibet,located in the hinterland of the Qinghai-Tibet plateau in China,born out of the theocratic feudal serfdom,is a region sensitive to the political,military and ecological,and inhabited by ethnic minorities,therefore it has particularity of economic development.Since the policy of reform and opening,the Central Government has always attached great importance to the economic construction of Tibet Autonomous Region.In 1980,1984,1994,2001and 2010,respectively,as well as in 2015,six working Conferences have been held to specializes in issues of economic development in Tibet.Specially,the Third Working Conference held in July 1994,highlight to the future strategic for the development of Tibet is economic growth and stability,and make the significant decision of the national Tibet-aid.The Working Conference in 2001 proposed the goal of leap-forward development of Tibet.In 2010,the Fifth Working Conference,the Central Government made a strategic plan to achieve leap-forward development of Tibet,and stressed to improve the ability of self-development.Meanwhile,the Western Development Conference held by Central Government in July 2010,stressed to pay more attention to infrastructure construction,environmental protection and development of industries with local advantages.In August 2015,the sixth Central Tibet Work Conference had been held,it clear strategic thinking of "govern country must govern frontier first,and govern frontier must stable Tibet first",and insisted the principle of"prosperity Tibet,Tibet of long-term construction,rallying public support and consolidate the basis",and pay more attention to improving people’s livelihood and infrastructure construction to accelerate the pace of building a moderately prosperous society.Since the peaceful liberation of Tibet,the central government had invested a lot of financial resources to support Tibet.According to statistics,the amount of financial subsidies by Central Government is 300 billion yuan from 1952 to 2010,at an average annual growth of 22.4%,and the amount of direct investment exceeds more than 53.3%to Tibet,arranging a large number of major projects,which including roads,railways,airports,energy and other key infrastructure,such as famous 43 Project、117 Project、188 Project and so on.Thus,in strong support of the Central Government,Tibet’s infrastructure investment gets a rapid growth and a wide range,and the infrastructure has been improved significantly.At the same time,economic growth in Tibet achieved better results,giving eloquent proof of the close contact between infrastructure investment and economic growth.However,what’s the relationship of local economic growth and industry development?Which is the reason?And which is the result?It’s a meaningful issue.As we all know,good infrastructure is a basic condition for speeding up the economic development in a country or area.As the foundation of economic development and an important part of the economy,infrastructure is indispensable material carriers and basic conditions to provide services for human life and production.Infrastructure investment is not only productive,but also powerful driving force to economic growth,which plays a key role to maintain sustained and steady economic growth.Under the central government’s long-term support,Tibet’s transportation,energy,communications,logistics and other infrastructure has been greatly improved.However,based on the special circumstances of Tibet,the infrastructure remains constrain to its economic and industrial development.Thus,at the support of polices made by the Fifth and the Sixth Working Conference on Tibet held in July 2010 and the Central Government Conference of Western development,central and local government will continue to invest a large amount of public capital to Tibet’s infrastructure.Consequently,study on the particularity of Tibet’s economic development,and the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth in Tibet,investigated the different types of impact of infrastructure investment on economic growth,has important policy implications for government to reasonably determine the directions and priorities of infrastructure investment.Meantime,by investigating the interaction mechanisms of infrastructure investment between industrial developments,it can provide forward-looking theoretical guidance and empirical basis for the government to make relatively policies in infrastructure investment,promoting the industry development and improving self-development ability.This paper is divided into 7 chapters,the contents are as follows:The first chapter,Introduction.Firstly,this chapter states the background,purpose,theoretical and practical significance of the topics;secondly,this chapter describes the research thinking,research methods,technical route and the main content;finally,this chapter describes the main innovations and shortcomings.The second chapter,related theory and literature review.Firstly,this chapter defines the core concepts such as infrastructure,infrastructure investment,hard infrastructure investments and soft infrastructure investments;secondly,this chapter expounds theories of the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth;finally,this chapter reviews domestic and foreign related important literatures on the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth.The third chapter,the theoretical analysis on impact of infrastructure investment to economic growth.Firstly,this chapter analyzes the effect mechanism of infrastructure investment on economic growth,including direct effects and indirect effects;secondly,this chapter analyzes the impact of infrastructure investment on economic growth effects,including short-term effects and long-term effects.Meanwhile,this chapter also establishes theoretical models of infrastructure investment and economic growth,pointing out conditions for the realization of the optimal scale of infrastructure investment.The forth chapter,analysis on particularity of Tibet’s infrastructure investment and economic growth.Firstly,this chapter analyses the special situation of Tibet with Tibet’s local actual,and reviews the basic course of Tibet’s economic and infrastructure development;secondly,this chapter analysis on particularity of Tibet’s economic growth,and the current situation of infrastructure investment of Tibet,meanwhile,by using cobb-douglas production function,the contribution to the output of infrastructure investment in Tibet is analyzed;finally,it analysis on the particularities of impact of infrastructure investment on economic growth based on the benefit index and contribution index.The fifth chapter,the long-term equilibrium analysis of the Tibet’s infrastructure investment and economic growth.First of all,it’s fundamental analysis of the Tibet’s infrastructure investment and economic growth;secondly,it’s cointegration analysis of the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth in Tibet based on the error-correction model,as well as the Granger causality analysis of the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth in Tibet;finally,this chapter analysis the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth in Tibet based on the optimal size,and calculates the optimal size of the infrastructure in Tibet.The sixth chapter,the empirical analysis on the infrastructure investment and industrial development in Tibet.Firstly,it’s fundamental analysis of the relationship between infrastructure investment and industrial development in Tibet;secondly,by using VAR model,this chapter empirically analysis on the relationship between infrastructure investment and industrial development in Tibet;finally,this chapter empirically researches on the relationship between infrastructure investment and the changes of industrial structure,and in order to explore the causal relationship more precise and accurate,this chapter pretreatments those two indicators by using HP filter method.The seventh chapter,the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the infrastructure investment and economic growth in Tibet.Firstly,this chapter analysis the strategic choice of economic and social development in Tibet,including retention the development path of "Tibet with Chinese characteristic features",fully awareness of the profound connotation and the system innovation of Tibetan characteristic development path;secondly,it points out the strategic direction and discusses the mode selection of Tibet’s future infrastructure investment;it expounds the structural optimization of infrastructure investment in the Tibet Autonomous Regional,including the optimization of the regional structure,internal structure and industrial structure,Meanwhile,it clears supporting policy measures. |
