| In an open economy, how to accelerate the transformation of economicdevelopment, promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure is one ofthe most urgent tasks facing our country. As the world’s number one trading nation,the development of international trade will undoubtedly have a significant impact onChina’s industrial restructuring. Therefore, the study of the relationship betweeninternational trade and industrial structure adjustment has important significance.From the existing research literature, there are two major shortcomings: the firstis the lack of in-depth discussion on the role of international trade in industrialstructure adjustment of the transmission mechanism; Second, few scholars from boththe perspective of the industrial structure and employment structure at the same timeconduct research on this issue. Based on this, from the actual situation of China’scurrent industrial structure adjustment departure, this paper analyzes the mechanismsof international trade on industrial restructuring, then, from the industrial structureand employment structure adjustment of perspectives, this paper explores the impactof international trade on China’s industrial structure adjustment.In the above theoretical analysis, history, on the basis of comparative analysisand comparative analysis, this paper uses the1987-2008provincial panel data tointernational trade and the relationship between the adjustment of industrial structurein our country has carried on the empirical analysis. Through the research, this paperdraws the following conclusion:(1) Results in an open economy, a country’sindustrial structure adjustment is not only affected by domestic demand, is alsoaffected by international trade. Different trading strategies and policies lead toindustrial restructuring and the stage industrialized countries are different, but alsoaffect the structural transformation of the relative importance of the various countriesof various factors distinguish the main reason for that is due to differences instrategies and policies on trade, industrial structure adjust the speed and the state isdifferent.(2) From the point of international trade’s influence on the output valuestructure, international trade to influence economic growth mainly through affectingthe industry output value structure transformation, international trade has made theagricultural decline, industry and service industry grow. The empirical results showthat the international trade of industrial growth is the influence of the inverted U type: as the degree of opening, the industrial economic growth after a period of time up willbe a downward trend. International trade will ultimately lead to difference of differentindustry growth rate of output structure transformation: the first industry in GDPshare will be decreasing, while the second industry and tertiary industry share will beincreasing in the gross national product (GNP). It is important to note that theempirical study results in the eastern region has not significant, but in the centralregion and western region is very significant.(3) From the point of the impact ofinternational trade on employment structure, the Engel’s Law and the department tothe influence of the technological progress, leading to a fall in agriculturalemployment proportion of international trade, industry, employment proportion risingby inverted U type change and the service sector employment proportion rising.Industrial employment proportion in the open, under the influence of changes in theinverted u-shaped signal with the open degree of deepening, beginning will make theindustry has a considerably increase the proportion of employment, across the peak,the international trade of industrial employment proportion will pull up effect is onthe decline, that is the future China’s ministry of industry’s ability to absorb labor willat some point is on the decline. Employment is gradually increase the proportion ofinternational trade in services, even though rise among regions is different, but overall,the international trade of service sector employment proportion has a promoting effect,suggesting that improving the openness of the international trade is beneficial toenlarge the scale of service industry employment.(4) In addition to international trade,investment, government spending and human capital abundance, urbanization andother factors are all to influence the industry economic growth.Finally, based on theabove research conclusion, drawing lessons from international experience in thedeveloped countries, and combined with the actual situation of our country, this paperhas put forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions from four aspects includingthe international trade policy, industrial policy, labor policy and urbanization.Compared with the existing research results, this paper may be the innovation ofthe embodied in the following five aspects:First, previous studies mostly focus on theinfluence of international trade on a country’s economic growth, but this article goesdeep into the internal industrial structure from the perspective of production valuestructure and employment structure, in order to investigate the influence ofinternational trade on the industrial structure adjustment.Second, this paper takes theactual situation of our country as the starting point, combining with related theory system, the influence mechanism of production structure and international trade to themechanism and influencing employment adjustment Mastuyama model in this paper,analyzing the impact on the international trade industry growth and industrialstructure adjustment for the theoretical analysis of the system, providing a strongtheoretical basis for empirical.hird, in this paper does up the research framework ofinternational trade and industrial structure adjustment, clearing the status of theresearch system based on the industrial structure adjustment, has been achieved,research hotspots and controversial points, and international trade, industrial structureand unified under the same framework to study interactions and relationships betweenthem, combined with China’s the truth, trying to answer in each stage of internationaltrade and economic growth of China as applied to the industrial structure of thepoint.Fourth, to overcome the simple use of time-series data analysis the defect ofinternational trade and industrial structure adjustment, this paper makes full use ofpanel data. On the basis of the research of BaoQun (2008) and Mastsuyama (2009),this paper established the theoretical framework of the truth of econometric modelmore accord with China, impacting on the international trade of our country’sindustrial structure adjustment effect is analyzed, and combining with thecharacteristics of each industry and regional features an in-depth discussion on thisissue.Fifth, this paper verified the Mastsuyama (2009) of the applicability of thetheoretical framework in China. |
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