Research On Crisis Management Of Small Scale Thermal Power Plants Based On The Sustainable Development

In this paper, it researched on crisis management of small scale thermal power plants based on the sustainable development. The survival condition and the difficults which the small scale thermal power plant are facing were analysed, and made analysis and forecasting for the demand of electricity with scientific approach which can be given reference for the future development of Small thermal power plants. It also built a set of comprehensive evaluation index system for the current survival conditon of the small scale thermal power plant, and done evaluation with some methods. At last, it made major analysis of the measurement that small scale thermal power plants should be adoptted to settle these difficults.Based on the sustainable development condition, it introduced the research state of crisis management of small scale thermal power plants at home and abroad. Tthe development course, definition of the sustainable development theory were introduced, and it also described the development direction of thermal power plants. The connotation, the purpose, the effect and the methods of the enterprise crisis management theory were discussed respectively.It analysed problems and reasons which the small-scale power plant are facing, it also included the development course, development condition and the specie of the small-scale power plant. We believed that the main problems of the small-scale power plant faced are high energy consumption, serious pollution and low efficiency of the use of fire. The reasons for these problems are mainly concentrated in the macroeconomic policies of our country, the issue of coal combustion, the equipment, technology, operation and management of small thermal power are not optimistic, the problem of environmental pollution, more persons in enterprises, enterprise management level is relatively low and so on.In view of the current development status, it made forecating of electricity demand and analysed the electricity supply and demand of our country in macroscopy. It built long-mid term power load forecasting modle based on the optimizing of GA-BP neural network, it forecasted with relation between the electricity demand and the GDP of the first, second, third industries, the population amount with thirty years'data of our country. With this method, it could be get more accurate forecasting result.Evaluated the survival state of small thermal power plants. Firstly, it analysed the index system, they were economic evaluation index in which contains financial evaluation index and national economy valuation index; influencial evaluation index in which contained environment effects evaluation index and social effects evaluation index; sustainable development evaluation index and so on. It made research of power plant impact evaluation system based on SVM. SVM model can be shown a good generalization performance when calculated with small samples, and the data is relatively easy to access, these can improved SVM training speed and accuracy. Test results were shown that the model had a high rate of correct classification and could be better used in power plant impact assessment system.It introduced the crisis management of small scale thermal power plants based on the sustainable development. Firstly, it analysed the crisis management principle of small scale thermal power plants, they were rational principles, the principle of transparency, principles of learning, communication principle, the principle of institutionalized, staff scheduling principles and the principle of real-time decision-making; Secondly, it described the building of crisis management mechanism in small thermal power plants, it includes the framework for crisis management mechanism of small thermal power plants, crisis management processes and building of the organization of the crisis management framework, management measures in which introduced 12 kinds of small ways to overcome the crisis and measures; Finally, it put forward the crisis recovery management mechanism for small-scale thermal power plants, they were the restoration of order in the production and management, stabilize the staff team, rebuild the reputation, crisis generalization, and establishes business ethics to fulfill their social responsibility, focuses on core business development, and so on.