Research On The Developing Patterns Of The Ice And Snow Tourism Industry Based On System Dynamics

The ice and snow tourism is becoming one of the regional mainstay industries with more impacts on the regional economy and playing more and more important roles in the social and economic development, which has become one of the developing objectives in many regions. Though the ice and snot tourism in China is enjoying a good developing trend, there are still many problems associated with it. For this reason, it is very urgent and necessary to carry out an in-depth research no matter from the self-development and self-reliance prospect, or from the regional developing stability and economic sustainable growth prospect.The research has been carried out by applying literature review, expert screening, grey correlation analysis method and systemic simulation on the dynamic system of the developments of the ice and snow tourism, with the help of software. Through the ice and snow tourism dynamic system function and characteristics, combined with the existing power system model, select the resources, economy, culture and environment 22 indexes of four subsystems, The operation process of the ice and snow tourism has been reflected through the systemic variables and index confirmation, ice and snow tourism development power system model was established by using the model of Harbin ice and snow tourism development mode selection and puts forward related Suggestions. The results show that:(1)China snow tourism development model includes four types. More perfect snow tourism development abroad, domestic tourism is still in the development stage snow, Through the research, developing patterns have been proposed, including resource-driven pattern, high economic efficiency pattern, culture-balanced pattern, and environmental protection pattern, after the analysis of the developing patterns for ice and snow tourism both at home and abroad. (2) Snow tourism development power system includes four subsystems. Four kinds of ice and snow tourism development model, It is also pointed out that the dynamic system for ice and snow tourism consists of resource subsystem, economic subsystem, culture subsystem, and environmental subsystem and influencing factor analysis then applied.(3)Build the ice and snow tourism development mode choice model.Based on the above mentioned, systemic simulation method is applied to analyze the casual feedback relations of the developing system of the ice and snow tourism and construct 24 feedback loops and 4 casual relation charts, as well as the systemic model for the ice and snow tourism patterns. The operation process of the ice and snow tourism has been reflected through the systemic variables and index confirmation, while fully integrated all influencing factors including resources, economy, culture and environment.(4)At the same time, Harbin has been taken as a typical example to analyze and select its developing pattern for the ice and snow tourism as culture-balanced pattern. Then suggestions are also given to utilize its resources and highlight geographic features, develop in-depth ice and snow tourism and establish its own tourism brand; and then improve environmental protection and introduce new concepts of ice and snow tourism.