Study On The Influence Of Consumption Of Chin Ese Rural Residents To Economic Development

Economic development is an eternal theme of economics research, the consumption play more and more important role in the factors which promote economic development. Marx said:"No consumption, No production","Consumption decides the production ", Marshallalso claims:"The final adjustment of social needs is the need of consumers". With the fast development of Chinese economy, the economy development mainly depend on investment and export at present, while the role of consumption has not fully played out which usually act as one of the three carriages for the economic development.The weak consumptionhas become the important restriction factor that affected the economical development. Especially there is a serious difficult in the current rural consumption market. The rural population accounts for47.43%of the population, but the total consumption of rural residents accounted for only32.5%of the total national consumption. The weakness of the rural consumption market has a direct impact on the overall consumption. Expand the role of consumption, not only can effectively improve the livelihood of the people, but also promote the economic development of China.In2009, Document One of the Party Central Committee clearly stated to expand China consumption demand; the rural market has the greatest potential. The report in2012of The Eighteenth National Congress of the CPC proposed the "speed up the establishment of long-term mechanism for expanding consumption demand","to solve rural issues is most important work of the party","in2020, doubled the per capita income of urban and rural residents ". In2014, the central document No.1"The opinions on the deepening of rural reform and accelerate the modernization of agriculture "claimed to subsidize low income consumers. This demonstrates that the party and the government have known the great importance of rural residents’consumption in economic development period. Therefore, comprehensive, system, in-depth study of the impact China rural household consumption on economic development, has great research value.The purpose of this study is through the relevant data in recent thirty-three years China rural resident consumption demand change, adopt the method of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, from the factors affecting the consumption of rural residents, find out the main factors affecting the consumption of rural residents, analysis of the internal mechanism and insufficient consumption of rural residents China affect economic development, through the status Chinese consumption of rural residents, the prediction analysis, empirical analysis between consumption and economic development of rural residents consumption trend of rural residents Chinese and rational mode, put forward to develop the China rural consumption market policy measures. Trying to reason to analyze the impact of economic development from the angle of "rural residents’consumption", into the essence of current rural under consumption, reasonable construction of the rural consumption patterns, and put forward reasonable suggestions to expand the consumption of rural residents. From the view point of:(1) Analysis of the mechanism of the influence of the economic development Chinese consumption of rural residents.Analyse the mechanism that how the rural residents’ consumption affected the economic development from three aspects,they are the income distribution, the fiscal expenditure and cautious consumptionpublic of three aspects.(2) Analysis of the current situation of China consumption of rural residents. Rural consumption mainly has the following characteristics:one is the final consumption rate is on a downward trend, consumption gap between urban and rural residents. The two is to the East, West, in the three step of rural household consumption level. Three is a larger proportion of basic necessities of life consumption, food consumption expenditure in the first place. The four is the traffic communication and entertainment consumption increase.(3) An empirical analysis of the relationship between China rural household consumption and economic development. The use of eviews7.2software package, multiple linear regression for nearly thirty-three years Chinese consumption of rural residents, urban residents’consumption and GDP data, the household consumption expenditure of rural residents China increased1%, driving GDP growth of5.17%, household consumption expenditure of urban residents increased by1%, driving GDP growth of2.12%, visible, Chinese expanding domestic demand, expanding consumption of rural residents can be faster than the consumption of urban residents to promote economic development.(4) Construction of rural residents’consumption trend prediction China and reasonable mode. For the development of China rural long-term strategy of economic development, structural trends in consumer demand, forecasting model GM(1,1) by using grey correlation of grey prediction model of data per capita net income of rural residents and the per capita consumption Chinese spending ten years, predict the future five years.rural residents per capita consumption of per capita net income and the value of and correlation to estimate.predict ranking correlation between the next five years Chinese rural residents per capita consumption expenditure and per capita net income forecast valuesare household equipment and supplies, medical care,education and entertainment, clothing, transportation and communication, housing, food and other. China farmers’reasonable consumption mode, mainly from the guarantee of reasonable consumption level, consumption structure, designed to create a good environment for consumption and the cultivation of rational consumption concept analysis.(5) Policy recommendations. One is to improve the income distribution system as the focus, improve the consumption of rural residents. Second is to optimize the rural public expenditure system, continue to improve the consumption environment in rural areas. The three is to gradually improve the social security system in rural areas, expand consumption willingness of rural residents. Four is the use of financial innovation to resolve the liquidity constraints, increasing credit consumption of rural residents.