| Rural tourism,as an important starting point to comprehensively promote rural revitalization industry,plays a vital role in promoting rural development.In the post-epidemic era,with the return of overseas tourism demand,how to adapt rural tourism to tourists’ needs from "beautiful scenery" to "beautiful life" has become an urgent question to be answered.The report of the 20 th National Congress of the CPC pointed out that we should adhere to the integrated development of urban and rural areas,unimpeded the flow of urban and rural factors,at the same time develop rural characteristic industries,promote the deep integration of modern service industry and modern agriculture,expand the channels for farmers to increase income and get rich,enhance the endogenous development power of rural areas,and put forward a consistent path to realize the integration of rural tourism and rural revitalization.Based on this,the system dynamics model of rural tourism development from the perspective of urban-rural integration is constructed to explore the dynamic mechanism of rural tourism development under the new situation.Guided by tourism system drive theory and system science theory,this research constructs an index evaluation system for rural tourism development dynamics system from four subsystems: demand,supply,medium and support,and uses the entropy value assignment method to determine the weights of each index.Considering the dynamic complexity of the system,a system dynamics model of rural tourism development dynamics mechanism is constructed.Based on the structural analysis of the rural tourism development dynamics system,a simulation analysis of the rural tourism driving mechanism in Yangshuo County is carried out to simulate the intervention effects of different driving factors on the sustainable development of rural tourism sites and to propose countermeasures to promote the development of rural tourism in Yangshuo County.The main findings of the thesis are:(1)Constructing a theoretical framework of rural tourism development driving system based on tourism system driving theory,system science theory,push-pull theory and urban-rural integration theory,which contains an aggregate and organism of four functional modules: demand subsystem,supply subsystem,media subsystem and support subsystem.(2)Constructing a model of rural tourism development dynamics system and using Vensim PLE to draw a flow chart of rural tourism development dynamics system,namely,rural tourism development dynamics system model.The actual situation data of Yangshuo County were used to test the rural tourism development dynamics system model,and the results showed that the average error between the predicted and actual values were all controlled within 5%,indicating that the model passed the test and could be used to simulate rural tourism development.(3)Six rural tourism development driving mechanisms were set up in this thesis and a comparison analysis of the parameters of the control variables revealed that the development index of rural tourism in Yangshuo County reached above 0.8 in the later stages of the collaborative development mechanism,while the natural driving mechanism,demand driving mechanism,supply driving mechanism,media driving mechanism and support driving mechanism were all less than 0.8,thus the collaborative development mechanism is the ideal mechanism for the development of rural tourism in Yangshuo County.mechanism.The synergy between demand,supply,media and support needs to be strengthened in the future development of rural tourism in Yangshuo County,with supply being particularly important.Based on the current state of rural tourism development in Yangshuo County and the results of systematic simulation,the development of rural tourism in Yangshuo County should prioritise the synergistic development model and adhere to the development premise of adapting to local conditions.In order to enhance the endogenous dynamics of the countryside and promote urban-rural integration,the research observes the principles of strengthening strengths and complementing weaknesses,and strengthening longboards and complementing shortboards,and proposes that the development dynamics of rural tourism in Yangshuo County should give priority to the collaborative development mechanism,focusing on demand-pull and supply-supply complement,supplemented by media guidance and support guarantee.It analyses the development mechanism of rural tourism in Yangshuo County,which not only provides a theoretical basis for rural tourism to contribute to the development of urban-rural integration and guidance for the specific practice of urban-rural integration in Yangshuo County,but also contributes to the continuous sustainable and healthy development of tourism in Yangshuo County,which is conducive to the construction of Yangshuo County as a pioneer area of Guilin’s world-class tourism city and provides a reference for Guilin to become a world-class tourism city and a livable city. |
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