Research On The Dynamic Mechanism Of Industrial Coordinated Development In The Southwest Border Area

With the continuous development of the economy in the southwest border area,its industries have shown a good development trend.However,due to the geographical location along the coast and the border,there are certain particularities in resource endowment,infrastructure,opening policy,border security,and other aspects,and the economic foundation for coordinated development of industries is relatively weak.At present,with the implementation of the 14 th Five-Year Plan,the coordinated development of industries in the southwest border areas is facing a new round of opportunities and challenges.Therefore,this paper analyzes the current situation of coordinated industrial development in the southwest border area,and on this basis,analyzes the comprehensive development level and coupling relationship of the three systems of primary,secondary and tertiary industries,evaluates the degree of coordinated development of the three systems,explores the dynamic mechanism of coordinated development of the three systems,and provides reference for the decision making of relevant departments.Firstly,the current situation of coordinated industrial development in the southwest border area is analyzed,and the current situation of coordinated industrial development is initially outlined through the comparative analysis of industrial structure,industrial pulling force and industrial contribution rate.The research results show that: the contribution rate of primary industry is relatively high and the proportion of industry does not change much;the overall situation of secondary industry is close to that of other regions but there is a gap,and the maximum contribution rate under the same output value is not achieved;the industrial pulling power of secondary and tertiary industries is relatively low,and the proportion of added value of tertiary industry has increased significantly but the increment is far from enough.Secondly,by establishing a coupled and coordinated development assessment model of primary,secondary and tertiary industries,the coupled and coordinated degree of the three systems is analyzed in time and space.Based on the relevant panel data of the three industries in the southwest border region from 2011 to 2020,the assessment indexes of the coupled and coordinated development of the system are established,and the comprehensive development index and the coupled and coordinated degree are measured and analyzed.The analysis results show that: the comprehensive development index of the three systems has a tendency to gradually improve in the southwest border area,and the development of Yunnan is generally better than that of Guangxi,but the gap between regions is not obvious;the degree of coupling coordination is generally mild and on the verge of disorder,but it is gradually transitioning to primary and intermediate coordination,and spreading from two cities of Kunming and Nanning to the surrounding area.Again,it is tested whether the three systems of primary,secondary and tertiary industries have spatial agglomeration effect in terms of coupling coordination degree and reveal their agglomeration characteristics.Based on the spatial autocorrelation model,the spatial correlation of the coupling and coordination degree of the three systems is examined and analyzed from two perspectives: overall and partial.The analysis finds that the coupling coordination level of the three systems has a positive spatial correlation between 2011-2020,the global index is in a fluctuating upward state,and the spatial agglomeration is increasing with time change.Finally,the dynamic mechanism of the coupled and coordinated development of the three industries is analyzed,and the corresponding countermeasure suggestions are explored.Based on the spatial Durbin econometric model,the most suitable explanatory variables are selected to correlate the dynamic mechanism affecting the coupled and coordinated development of one,two and three industries.The research results show that economic level,urbanization level,technological innovation,international trade and financial service are the principal force,push force,pull force and resistance to the coordinated development of industries,respectively,and then propose countermeasure suggestions based on the analysis results.