Study On Risk Assessment And Prevention Mechanism Of Rural Poverty Return In Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture

In 2020,98.99 million rural poor under China’s current poverty line were lifted out of poverty,as targeted poverty alleviation in China came to a perfect end.In the transition period of the next five years,the focus and basic goal of rural economic work is to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation and keep the bottom line of anti-poverty in the post-poverty era.Located in wuling Mountain area,Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture of Hunan Province is the origin of the "targeted poverty alleviation" theory put forward by General Secretary Xi,and also a cluster of relatively poor people in China.This article selects xiangxi autonomous prefecture of hunan province as the specific research object,according to the theory of risk assessment and a precise concept as the theoretical foundation for poverty alleviation,on the basis of the concept of theory research,through reading literature and field investigation and analysis,combined with the xiangxi autonomous prefecture rural economic work,the poverty alleviation era Chinese work content and other support work,Deeply excavate xiangxi autonomous Prefecture after the poverty alleviation era of rural poverty prevention work.In order to highlight the scientific nature of this study,this paper takes the comprehensive evaluation index method as the specific evaluation method for the risk of returning to poverty in rural areas.Through the investigation and interview of farmers in Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture,the influencing factors and specific causes of the risk of returning to poverty in rural areas are deeply explored.After finding out the specific causes of rural poverty return in the autonomous prefecture,the paper theoretically discusses the risk mechanism of preventing rural poverty return by using the method of static game,and constructs the risk mechanism of preventing rural poverty return in the Xiangxi Autonomous Prefecture based on the conclusion of the discussion.The main conclusions are as follows :(1)through calculation,the evaluation result is 3.478,which is between general risk and great risk and tends to general risk.Therefore,it is considered that the risk of returning to poverty in rural areas of xiangxi autonomous prefecture is between general risk and great risk at present,and will be close to general risk in the future.(2)Logit model is adopted to analyze 20 influencing factors selected from four aspects of "respondents’ basic characteristics,policy characteristics,market characteristics and social characteristics".After testing its significance,correlation and robustness,four specific and effective influencing factors are obtained,which are "household savings(significantly negative)" "employment skills(significantly negative)" "household industries(significantly negative)" and "natural disasters(significantly positive)".(3)According to the equilibrium solution of the static game,it can be seen that the government will rationally increase assistance to farmers who develop their own endogenous motivation,and reduce assistance to "waiting for dependence".Based on this,the industrial coordination mechanism is constructed from the path of interest community,coordinated development and characteristic industry.The employment driving mechanism should be constructed from three paths: optimizing policies,improving employment environment and improving employment skills.The social security protection mechanism should be constructed from the path of balanced allocation of resources,the path of equity and justice system,and the path of integrated construction.