Research On The Mechanism Of International Factors Influx On Regional Economic Resilience

Regional economic resilience is an intrinsic property of regional economic system,which is the comprehensive ability of regional system to cope with and absorb external shocks,maintain the stable operation of regional economy,and continuously adapt to adjust internal and external structures to achieve dynamic development.The current international environment is complex and severe and the risks are intensifying,an in-depth study of regional economic resilience based on factor flow theory can provide strong support for China’s economy to prevent risks and seek progress in a stable manner.At present,the qualitative and quantitative analysis of resilience is still at a developmental stage,and the research perspectives and methods of resilience span different disciplines,but a complete theoretical system has not yet been formed.Regional economy is an open and complex adaptive system,so the evolution of key elements plays a decisive role in the evolution of the whole system.This paper redefines the concept and characteristics of regional economic resilience from the perspective of open system,divides regional economic resilience into four dimensions of resistance,resilience,adaptability and creativity,and improves the resilience theory from both qualitative and quantitative analysis.On this basis,the evolutionary impact of factor flows on regional economic resilience is the core issue,and the key factors affecting regional economic resilience and the mechanism of factor inflows are systematically sorted out in two dimensions from time and space,from macro to micro,thus establishing the theoretical analysis framework of this paper.Based on the above theoretical framework,this paper introduces the analytical methods of complex systems and multi-source big data to improve the comprehensive evaluation system of regional economic resilience.The economic resilience of 27 regions in the Yangtze River Delta is measured by introducing a threshold effect model and conducting panel regression analysis on the core explanatory variables.The results show that there are large differences in the resilience of the Yangtze River Delta regions,and the overall pattern is that the closer the distance and connection to the core cities,the higher the resilience.However,only very few regions form a systemic network and realize spillover effects at the level of resilience.International capital factor inflows have a boosting effect on regional economic resilience,but it is not significant,and there is an inverted U-shaped effect of boosting first and then inhibiting.Sub-dimensionally international capital factor inflows mainly affect resistance and have a negative effect on creativity when the threshold value is exceeded.When the level of international technology factor inflows is low,there is no significant effect on resilience.However,when the international technology factor inflow is very high,the effect of labor productivity on creativity remains negative,and the effect on both resilience and creativity becomes positive,and industry-related diversity has a significant inhibitory effect on resilience,but a strong promoting effect on resistance.Finally,this paper argues that the Yangtze River Delta should build an inner-loop-based and region-led outer-loop development path,take the global research center as the development goal,change the role of industrial division of labor,and shift from a follower to a leader.The government should have the responsibility to take up the role,both to give way and to fill the position,to change from focusing on material to talent,to promote technological innovation and knowledge innovation through the top-level design of institutional innovation,and to enhance regional economic resilience.