Research And Suggestions On The Development Of Pension Real Estate In China

China’s pension problem has gradually emerged in the context of the increasingly severe aging problem.The traditional family pension model is facing increasing pressure,and problems such as inadequate pension facilities and inadequate care services have become difficulties faced by the elderly and their families.In this context,the development of pension real estate has gradually become a highly concerned emerging industry.Pension real estate projects not only provide elderly people with a place to live,but also provide them with comprehensive life services and various forms of health care services.This model can help the elderly obtain more social and activity opportunities,alleviate their sense of loneliness,and improve their quality of life.At the same time,pension real estate can also relieve the burden of caring for the elderly for families and solve problems such as caring for and providing living services to the elderly.Therefore,the development of pension real estate is of great significance for solving the aging problem and is a highly concerned field.This article focuses on the development of China’s pension real estate industry and mainly conducts the following research:(1)Starting from the perspective of stakeholders,this article establishes a pension real estate index system with three main subjects: government,pension real estate enterprises,and consumers.Then,through theoretical analysis,statistical survey,expert consultation and other methods,a second-level influencing factor index system composed of 20 factors is established.(2)In response to the problem of influencing factors on the development of China’s pension real estate,this article proposes a coupling DEMATEL-ISM method model based on probabilistic linguistic term sets.Through the model,the hierarchical relationships and mutual influence relationships between influencing factors are clarified to determine the key influencing factors.The results show that the key influencing factors of the government are laws and regulations,land policies,and tax policies;the key influencing factor of pension real estate enterprises is operational capabilities;and the key influencing factors of consumers are income levels,family structures,and public opinion.(3)Starting from the macro-level of the index system,an evolutionary game model is used to establish a three-party game model of the government,pension real estate enterprises,and consumers to explore the stable evolution strategy of the pension real estate industry.The results show that consumers’ preferences have a very important impact on the stable development of the pension real estate industry.Secondly,the government’s supervision and subsidies,and the adjustment and reform of enterprises also have a relatively important impact on the stable development of the pension real estate industry.(4)Based on the experimental results,relevant suggestions are given to contribute to the development of the pension real estate industry.