The Study Of Robert Kagan’s Jungle Diplomacy Thoughts

Since the end of the Second World War,the United States has established a world order dominated by the United States by virtue of its own power.However,with the global financial crisis in 2008,the recession of the global economy,the shift of power brought by the rise of emerging countries represented by China and the impact of the new pneumonia epidemic on the international order,the U.S.-led world order has been challenged.At the same time,since the Obama administration made "strategic contraction" the main tone of U.S.foreign policy,U.S.influence in the world has declined,and the decline of the world order has prompted scholars at home and abroad to study the ideas of Robert Kagan,one of the representative figures of the American neoconservative school.As a famous American historian and foreign policy commentator,Robert Kagan has been named one of the "Top 100 Global Thinkers" by Foreign Policy magazine several times.At the same time,as one of the representatives of the new generation of American neoconservatism,Robert Kagan has a great influence in the American think tank and political circles.In the face of the decline of the U.S.-dominated world order,Robert Kagan,with a historian’s perspective,has studied the challenges to the world order from the concept of jungle diplomacy and proposed that the "strategic contraction" of the U.S.would return the world to the chaos,disorder and war of the 1930s.Kagan proposes that the U.S."strategic contraction" will return the world to the chaotic,disorderly and war-prone "jungle" state of the 1930s.This paper examines Robert Kagan’s "jungle" diplomacy from the following three aspects: first,Kagan’s career and the origins of Kagan’s jungle diplomacy.First,Robert Kagan’s extensive experience as a government and think-tank scholar and his unique insights on foreign policy have made Kagan a major influence in American politics and the think-tank.Second,the influence of the Kagan family and neoconservative thinking on the formation of Robert Kagan’s "jungle" diplomacy is discussed.Second,the core elements of Robert Kagan’s "jungle" diplomacy include: First,Robert Kagan’s view of world order.In his view,as the U.S.strategy shrinks globally,the world will return to the Hobbesian jungle state,to the disorder and chaos of the 1930s.Second,on this basis,Robert Kagan divided the world into liberal democracies and authoritarian states according to ideological divisions,arguing that the decline of the world order today comes from the crisis within the democracies on the one hand.It makes them turn their attention to domestic affairs and have no time to maintain today’s world order.On the other hand,it comes from the intensification of competition among external powers.In Robert Kagan’s view,the rise of China and the revival of Russia are a challenge to U.S.hegemony in the world.Third,the U.S.foreign strategy.He proposes that the United States should use military power to maintain and intervene in regional order,strengthen cooperation with allies in the Indo-Pacific region to contain China’s geopolitical expansion,and maintain the Atlantic Partnership to strengthen the democratic camp’s power to maintain international order and contain Russia.Robert Kagan’s jungle diplomacy reflects both the characteristics of his scholarship and the limitations or shortcomings of his jungle diplomacy.The former is that Robert Kagan,as a second-generation representative of neoconservatism,is a staunch neoconservative,good at finding patterns in history,and forward-looking in his thinking.The latter is mainly reflected in Robert Kagan’s jungle diplomacy,which is overly focused on military power,with strong hegemony and unilateralism,and his jungle diplomacy is too pessimistic.