| Since the reform and opening up 40 years ago,China ’s tourism industry has developed rapidly and has gradually become a major tourism country.Under the background of the new normal economy,it is facing the transformation stage from a big tourism country to a powerful tourism country.How to realize the quality and efficiency improvement and sustainable development of the tourism industry has become a key topic in the in-depth study of the tourism academia,and has achieved fruitful research results.However,the academic circles pay less attention to the efficiency of county tourism industry.As the basic unit supporting tourism development,tourism poverty alleviation and tourism public service system construction,county is of great significance to improve regional tourism efficiency.At the same time,under the background of the strategy of ’ tourism rejuvenating Xinjiang,the tourism industry in Xinjiang is developing rapidly at an unprecedented speed.How to keep up with the new rhythm of economic development,adapt to the development strategy of the country and the region,and improve the quality of tourism industry development is an urgent task for the current development of Xinjiang ’s tourism industry.In view of this,based on SBM-DEA model and Malmquist productivity index model,this study measures the efficiency and total factor productivity of county tourism industry in Xinjiang from 2011 to2019,and reveals its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics.The traditional Markov chain and spatial Markov chain are used to explore the spatial and temporal characteristics of club convergence.The geographical detector model is used to analyze the factors affecting the evolution of the spatial and temporal pattern of tourism efficiency.Finally,according to the above research results,the promotion strategy of county tourism industry efficiency in Xinjiang is put forward.The main conclusions of this thesis are as follows.(1)The comprehensive efficiency of county tourism in Xinjiang is 0.382 from 2011 to 2019,which belongs to the low level of efficiency.During the study period,the evolution trend of comprehensive efficiency fluctuated upward,showing a “W” trend fluctuation,and its fluctuation trend was affected by both pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency.From the spatial point of view,the comprehensive efficiency and pure technical efficiency generally show ’ high in the north and low in the south,The distribution of counties and cities with high comprehensive efficiency level has evolved from aggregation in northern Xinjiang to “large” dispersion and small aggregation.The high value area of pure technical efficiency is mainly distributed in northern Xinjiang,showing a trend of slightly moving southward.Counties and cities with high and higher levels of scale efficiency account for a large proportion and a wide range of distribution,but their number and proportion have declined.(2)The average annual growth rate of total factor productivity of county tourism industry in Xinjiang is 28.7%.Technical efficiency and technological progress have a positive effect on tourism productivity.From the perspective of spatial distribution characteristics,the total factor productivity of the tourism industry shows a high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration pattern in space.During the study period,the proportion of counties with higher total factor productivity was higher than that of counties with lower total factor productivity.(3)Both traditional and spatial Markov chains show that the efficiency of county tourism industry in Xinjiang has the characteristics of club convergence,and its club convergence gradually weakens with the accumulation of time.The probability of efficiency level transition is higher in lower efficiency and higher efficiency,and the probability of efficiency level transition is smaller in low efficiency and high efficiency.The adjacent efficiency types are more likely to transfer,and the probability of cross-type transfer is smaller.After considering the transfer of the field,it is found that most counties and cities are consistent with the transfer direction of the field,and a few central and southern counties and cities are downward compared with the field.(4)The spatial and temporal evolution of county tourism efficiency in Xinjiang is mainly affected by economic development level,market scale,tourism resource endowment and government policy.On the whole,the influencing factors that lead to the evolution of county tourism industry efficiency in Xinjiang increase with time,and with the development of county tourism industry in Xinjiang,the influence intensity and significance level of each influencing factor are also increasing. |
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