| Global warming caused by greenhouse gases poses a threat to the survival and development of human beings,with agricultural carbon emissions being a significant contributor.Therefore,in the 20 th National Congress Report,China proposed improving fiscal,taxation,financial,investment,and pricing policies to promote the "double carbon" work.The implementation of appropriate financial support measures under market guidance may help reduce agricultural carbon emissions.This paper explores the impact of rural financial development on agricultural carbon emissions and provides useful insights for reducing agricultural carbon emissions in China.This paper utilizes the theory of financial development and low-carbon agriculture,selecting agricultural data from 30 provinces and cities between 2009 to 2019.The study calculates data on agricultural production,financial development,and carbon emissions,and explores the spatial evolution characteristics through statistical analysis and Arcgis.Subsequently,the paper analyzes the impact of rural financial development on Chinese agricultural carbon emissions using a spatial measurement method and identifies differences among different regions.Finally,based on these findings,corresponding countermeasures have been proposed.The results showed that: Firstly,increasing input of agricultural materials,particularly grain,was found to be the primary approach to boosting agricultural production in China.The scale of rural finance has grown significantly in recent years,with the eastern region leading the way followed by the western and central regions.Despite this growth,rural financial efficiency remains generally low,albeit with the western region showing relatively higher efficiency.Secondly,total agricultural carbon emissions in China have transitioned from slow growth to steady decline,while carbon emission intensity has shifted from slow to rapid decline.In high-intensity regions,total agricultural carbon emissions initially increased before decreasing,while in lowintensity regions,emissions decreased before increasing.Regions once characterized by high agricultural carbon intensity are now seeing decreases,whereas those with previously low intensity are experiencing increases.Thirdly,spatial Dubin decomposition analysis revealed that for the whole country,expanding rural financial scale has a significant positive impact on carbon emissions,while financial efficiency has a weak inhibitory effect.The development of rural finance scale and efficiency in major grain-producing areas led to an increase in agricultural carbon emissions.However,the effects were varied in non-major grain-producing areas,with the finance scale showing a promoting effect and the financial efficiency exhibiting an inhibiting effect.Finally,this paper provides a series of practical policy suggestions,including deepening financial reforms,strengthening regional cooperative management,expanding the scale of rural finance with caution,and effectively improving the efficiency of rural finance. |
