Research On The Impact Of Global Value Chain Embedding On China’s Industrial Carbon Emissions

The "14th Five-Year Plan and Development Outline" adopted at the Fourth Session of the 13 th National People’s Congress puts forward that "it is necessary to formulate an action plan for carbon peaking before 2030 and strive to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060".As a big trading country,China plays an important role in the global value chain system.In this context,if we can clearly understand the relationship between global value chain embedding and carbon emissions,it will be of certain value to clarify the integration direction of China’s global value chain and realize carbon emission reduction.Based on this,this dissertation first sorts out the literature related to global value chain and carbon emissions,Then,the global value chain embedding index and carbon emission index of China’s industry as a whole and industrial sub-sectors are measured,the current situation of China’s industrial embedding in global value chain and industrial carbon emission is analyzed,and the mechanism of global value chain embedding affecting industrial carbon emission is further explored.This dissertation not only clarifies the direct impact mechanism of global value chain embedding on industrial carbon emissions,but also discusses its indirect mechanism,which shows that global value chain embedding may also have an impact on industrial carbon emissions through technological innovation effect and structural upgrading effect.Secondly,this dissertation selects the panel data of China’s large and medium-sized industrial sub-sectors from 2004 to 2018 as research samples,This dissertation empirically tests the direct impact of global value chain embedding on carbon emissions of China’s industrial sectors through basic models,And through the intermediary effect model to explore the indirect impact mechanism between the two,and based on the industrial factor density,based on the comparison of industry forward participation and backward participation,based on the level of industry energy consumption heterogeneity analysis.The results show that: First,the deepening of global value chain embeddedness can effectively curb China’s industrial carbon emissions,There is a significant inverted U-shaped curve relationship between the embedding status of global value chain and carbon emissions,that is,in a certain period of time,the higher the embedding status of global value chain,the more industrial carbon emissions,but when the embedding status rises to the critical "threshold",industrial carbon emissions begin to decline continuously;Second,the embedding of global value chain not only directly affects carbon emissions,but also indirectly affects carbon emissions through technological innovation and industrial upgrading effects;Thirdly,according to the factor intensity,the difference of industry forward participation and backward participation,and the level of industry energy consumption,it is found that there is industry heterogeneity in the impact of global value chain embedding on China’s industrial carbon emissions.Finally,combined with the above conclusions,this dissertation puts forward targeted countermeasures and suggestions.The article emphasizes that at the present stage,China needs to continue to deepen its embeddedness in the global value chain,and at the same time,it should promote the industrial sector to move towards the upstream link of the global value chain in a planned way.Therefore,it is necessary to continuously strengthen scientific and technological innovation,adjust and optimize the industrial structure,get rid of the low-end locking dilemma,and formulate differentiated policies according to the characteristics of different industries,so as to achieve carbon emission reduction in China’s industrial industries.