Analysis Of Influencing Factors Of Family Fertility Willingness Based On Regional Differences

In recent years,the problem of demographic structure has gradually become challenging in China,and the phenomenon of declining birthrate and aging popula-tion has become increasingly serious.The government has also put forward a number of proposals to address this issue,such as liberalizing immigration policy,relaxing childbirth restrictions in Northeast China,increasing male paternity leave,etc.In the final analysis,it is expected to encourage childbirth through adjusting policies,enhance people's willingness to have children and increase the fertility rate of our country.In view of the fact that after China fully liberalized the second-child policy in 2015,the fertility rate only increased slightly in the short term,and the fertility accumulation effect gradually weakened in the following years.The policy of lifting the control over the second-child does not continuously and effectively improve the fertility sluggish phenomenon in China.Therefore,this paper studied the influencing factors of fertility desire,and proposes reasonable policy recommendations,in order to improve people's fertility intention,so as to implement reproductive behavior,thereby gradually improving the population structure and alleviating the problem of fewer children and aging of population.This article selected the 2017 China Comprehensive Social Survey(CGSS)data,based on the quantitative expression of the family unit—fertility desire to do quan-titative analysis.The research first described the correlation between the region's per capita GDP and the average ideal number of children.And then construct rank sum statistics to test and find that people in areas with higher economic levels are relatively low in reproductive will.So the text,according to the national economic zone division criteria,divided into total four economic regions:east,central,western and northeast.Additionally,this paper processes the ideal number of children as dichotomous variable,models the ideal number of children in the four regions of the population of childbearing age separately by using the logic regression method,and then tests the overall significance and goodness of fit in above models by using the card-side test and HL test method respectively,to further verify the rationality of the models.According to the research,we found that in Eastern China,the child-bearing age of the family who have rural household registration and already have children are more willing to have children,and with the improvement of people's education level,the childbearing purpose will be relatively reduced.Besides,the marital status is another major factor that affects people's fertility intention.The reasons that affect the willingness of childbearing-gage families in the central region are more complex.Specifically,individuals with rural registered residence,mature age,healthier bodies,one or more children and higher family income are more will-ing to bear offspring,which corresponds to the eastern region.When the education level is higher and the marital status becomes more unstable,people's childbearing desire is also lower.With regard to the family of childbearing age in western region,age and number of real estate positively influences people's fertility desire,while the negative factors of fertility intention are health and marriage.The portrait's of the population with stronger fertility desire in Northeast China is the family with higher income and social security projects in rural areas.