Research On The Residence Intention And The Influence Factor Of Floating Population In Province Hebei

The residence intention and the management of the floating population are the focus of local governments.Research on the floating population is also a hot spot of the academic world.The floating populationhas played an important role in the development of Hebei Province to narrow the development gap between Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei.Recent studies present poor explanations on the willingness and influencing factors of the floating population in Hebei Province.This article intends to make up this gap.Micro data of Hebei Province involved in the 2018 National Health and Family Planning Commission’s National Floating Population Dynamics Monitoring Survey Data,as well as the district and county-level socioeconomic data of 11 prefecture-level cities in Hebei Province,have been widely used through descriptive statistical analysis and orderly logistic regression,in order to study the overall situation of various factors affecting the long-term residence willingness of the floating population in Hebei Province,and then further analyze the differences in the factors affecting the residence willingness of the floating population in different mobility areasand cities,and different mobility areas in Shijiazhuang City.Finally,the article will point out the existing problems of floating population management in Hebei Province and provide targeted policy recommendations.The study found that over 70%of the migrant population in Hebei Province chose to remain in Hebei Province,and nearly 90%of them are willing to stay for a long time(over 3 years).Among the migrant population,who aged 31-40 with a college degree and in employer status,has the strongest willingness to stay in the medium and long term.However,the migrant population whose occupations are construction,production,and security has the lowest willingness to stay in the long-term.Also,the study found that the longer the inflow time and the more expenditure,the higher the proportion of the floating population who has the willingness to stay in the long-term.The monthly income group shows a fluctuating trend that the residence willingness bottoms with income less than 2,000 yuan,while peaks at 12,000 to 13,000 yuan.The regression results show that,in general,significant influencing factors to the long-term residence willingness in Hebei Province include gender,age,education level,household registration,income,career of life service,manufacturing and construction,employer status,the population size of the region,GDP,and the supply of medical and health public services.There are differences in the factors affecting the population’s willingness to stay in different areas of mobility(inter-province,inter-province,inter-city,inter-city,inter-county).In the order of inter-province,inter-province,inter-city,and inter-city,inter-county,income has a stronger influence on long-term residence willingness.Choosing to start a business has a weaker influence on the willingness of long-term residence.The provision of medical and public health services on the willingness of migrants to stay has similar influence across provinces and cities,and is stronger than across provinces.Different cities(Shijiazhuang,Tangshan,Baoding,Langfang)have different influencing factors on the willingness to stay of the floating population.Income and entrepreneurship have the greatest influence on the residence willingness of the floating population in Shijiazhuang City.Education level and the GDP have an impact on the willingness to stay of the floating population in Langfang City.The largest extent,the supply of medical and public health services has the greatest impact on the willingness of the floating population to stay in Tangshan City.The population size of the area and the supply of public education services have the same impact on Tangshan,Langfang and Hebei Province as a whole,and the impact on Shijiazhuang is the same as other cities.In contrast,there are differences in the factors affecting the willingness to stay in Shijiazhuang’s different mobility areas(inter-provincial,inter-province,inter-city,inter-city and inter-county).Income,manufacturing or construction employment have the greatest impact on the inter-city migrants’ willingness to stay in Shijiazhuang,while entrepreneurship and the population size have the greatest impact on the willingness of inter-provincial migrants in Shijiazhuang.Yet the impacts of these factors are no longer significant after classifying the migrant population in Shijiazhuang according to the scope of mobility,public service provision.Based on the results of the research and the current management policies of the migrant population in Hebei,it was found that some industry markets lacked overall planning,leading to poor employment stability,low overall education level,dull management policies,high cost of entrepreneurship and cross-regional risks,etc.The article will provide solutions on improving the regional attractiveness and competitiveness of Hebei Province,such as to establish industry federations to promote the formal employment of migrants,to encourage continuing education and skill training,to pay attention to career development,to formulate policies and and financial preference to reduce the pressure on entrepreneurship and cross-regional mobility costs based on local conditions.