Grassland ecology affects the development trend of graziery in the district.The contradiction between the progress requirement of graziery and the astricted rate of stocking is severe day by day.Coupled with herders’ indifferent awareness of protecting the ecological environment,prairie degradation is becoming more serious,and the utilization rate of grassland is increasing.The quality and yield of grassland decreased significantly.To safeguard steppe zoology safety,facilitate the blossom of graziery and aggrandize the earning of shepherd,in 2011,the state began to implement an allowance and award policy for prairie ecological protection.The implementation of the policy has played a positive role in grassland ecological environment protection,but also has an impact on the production behavior of herdsmen.Therefore,it is necessary to study the production decision-making behavior and influencing factors of herdsmen under the background of the policy.Guided by the Farmer behavior theory,the theory of expectation and the theory of behavior decision-making,this paper uses the method of survey to conduct a sample survey of herdsmen in four towns of Urumqi county,and issues 390 valid questionnaires.According to the survey data,this paper illustrates that the response of shepherd’s manufacturing decision-making behavior to prairie award policy and the implementation impact of prairie reward policy.Then,the binary Logistic model was constructed for empirical analysis to fully understand the influencing factors of the herdsmen’s production decision-making behavior,find out the breakthrough to improve the herdsmen’s production decision-making behavior,and then draw conclusions and put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.The research consequences indicate that:(1)the education degrees of the shepherds,the ratio of non-grazing earning,the grazing prohibition area and the amount of grassland compensation can be paid in time.It has a significant positive effect on whether the herdsmen change their business types;whether to change the behavioral decision of the business type,whether to participate in cooperatives,whether to buy livestock insurance,and the balance area of forage and livestock.It has a significant negative impact on whether herdsmen change their business types.(2)The four variables of forage planted,the original breeding quantity,forage-livestock balance area,and ratio of grassland bonus amount have a significantly positive impact on the behavioral decision of whether to expand the scale of breeding,while the grazing prohibition area has a significantly negative impact on the behavioral decision of whether to expand the scale of breeding.The research believes that it is necessary to formulate grassland compensation and reward policy implementation plans based on local conditions,and the factors influencing the herdsmen’s production decision-making behavior should be combined to encourage and guide the herdsmen to transform,so as to improve the grassland ecological environment. |