A Research On The Export Trade Effects Of China FTA

Nowadays,China is in an important period of economic development transformation and upgrading.Actively seeking to conclude regional or bilateral free trade agreements(FTAs)is an inevitable choice for China to establish an open economic system and to comprehensively deepen reforms.This paper aims to provide an in-depth assessment of the effects of China's export on China's free trade agreements concluded with partner countries and regions.Firstly,based on the export trade data of the United Nations International Trade Database,under the International Trade Standards Classification standard,230 export products are classified into five categories according to Lall's export technology classification method so that the impacts of the FTA on the total export effect and the export impacts of different types of technical exports' products are analyzed respectively.Secondly,many related research literatures do not draw consistent and significant conclusions on the FTA's trade effect estimates,and even some literatures have found the opposite evidence.Therefore,based on the relevant literatures of previous studies,this paper builds an extension on the gravity model,so as to further analyze the impacts of China's FTA with it's trade partners on China's export flows and structure.The final research results show that,in terms of the total export effects,except Macao,the signing of FTA between China and other countries and regions has played a positive role in promoting China's total exports,but the promotion effects are different.The promotion effect of the signing of the FTA on China's primary products' exports is generally stronger than that of industrial manufactured goods' exports.The signing of free trade agreements between China and various trading partner countries and regions has contributed to the export effect of China's resource-intensive manufactured goods over other three categories.And the impact of each FTA concluded with each trading partner on China's export trade structure is slightly different.