Research On The Coupling And Coordination Of Strategic Emerging Industries And Traditional Industries And Their Influencing Factors

Since the financial crisis in 2008,a new round of industrial revolution has been carried out worldwide,which has led to important adjustments in the industrial structure.Among them,developed countries dominated by the United States and Germany,in order to gain greater competitive advantages in the future economic and scientific and technological fields,have accelerated the layout of emerging industries such as biology,new materials,new energy,energy conservation and environmental protection.However,due to the impact of the financial crisis in China,many traditional industries have stopped production or even closed down,and the loss-making enterprises and the amount of losses have continued to expand.Therefore,in order to change the way of economic development,China has begun to cultivate strategic emerging industries.In 2010,the decision on accelerating the cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries was officially released,which identified seven major industries of China's strategic emerging industries as energy conservation and environmental protection,new energy,new materials,new energy vehicles,new generation information technology,biology and high-end equipment manufacturing.The Yangtze River Economic Belt,as an economic growth pole that traverses China's east,middle,and west regions,occupies an important position in China's economic growth.The “Outline of the Development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt” proposed in 2016 promotes the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt into a national development strategy.However,judging from the current situation,the Yangtze River Economic Belt has problems such as weak innovation,imbalanced economic structure,urgent need for upgrading and upgrading of traditional industries,and environmental pollution.Therefore,if the economic development mode cannot be changed,it may fall into the "middle income trap".The outline clearly stated that it is necessary to cultivate and expand strategic emerging industries,optimize the industrial layout,improve the level of coordinated and integrated development of the industry,and enhance the core competitiveness of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Therefore,this paper introduces system coupling theory,industrial structure theory,industry correlation theory and industry life cycle theory to conduct qualitative and quantitative research on the coordinated and coordinated development of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and their influencing factors.By constructing a theoretical framework for the coupling and coordination of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries,and following the principles of scientificity,comprehensiveness,and operability,two types of industrial coupling and coordination evaluation index systems have been constructed from the current state of industrial development and the level of industrial innovation.The coupling and coordination model is used to measure the level of the coordinated and coordinated development of the two types of industries in the Yangtze River Economic Zone,and the influential factors affecting the coordinated and coordinated development of the two types of industries are empirically analyzed through the dynamic panel data model and the spatial panel data model.The research shows:(1)From the perspective of the coupling and coordination between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt as a whole.First,the degree of coupling and coordination between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries has been steadily increasing.The degree of coupling and coordination between the two types of industries has increased from 0.481 in 2003 to 0.658 in 2016,an increase of approximately 36.789%.It shows that the positive interaction between the strategic emerging industries and traditional industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is gradually increasing.Second,although the change in the degree of coupling and coordination between the two types of industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt tends to increase,it is still in the primary coordination stage.The leapfrogging of stages has not yet been achieved.(2)From the perspective of the coupling and coordination of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries in the upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The degree of coupling and coordination between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries in the upper,middle and lower reaches of the regions shows an upward trend to varying degrees,and the degree of coupling and coordination between the two types of industries in the downstream regions is significantly higher than that in the midstream and downstream regions.(3)From the influencing factors of the degree of coupling and coordination between strategic emerging industries and traditional industries.The empirical results show that the second-order lag term of the coupling coordination degree of the two types of industries has a positive promotion effect on the current coupling coordination degree,which shows that the coupling and coordinated development of the two types of industries have a certain path dependence.The regression coefficients of the core explanatory variables show that physical capital,human capital and technological innovation also play a positive role in promoting the coordinated and coordinated development of the two types of industries.From the overall level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,financial development has a negative effect on the coordinated development of the two types of industries.Due to the different levels of financial development in the upper,middle,and lower regions,it has a positive effect on the coupling and coordination of the two types of industries in the lower Yangtze River Economic Belt Effect,but the effect on the upstream and middle reaches is not obvious or even has a certain hindrance.The scientific nature of policy formulation may still need to be further improved.Neither the overall level nor the support from governments in the upper,middle,and lower reaches of various regions has positively promoted the coupling and coordinated development of the two types of industries.(4)According to the regression results of the Spatial Durbin Model,from the overall level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,its main influencing factors have certain positive spatial effects on the coupling and coordinated development of the two types of industries,except for government support indicators.The degree of industrial coupling and coordination has promoted the level of coordinated and coordinated development of the two types of industries in its neighboring areas,and it has also shown that the coordinated and coordinated development of the two types of industries has a demonstration role.In order to further analyze the regional spatial differences in the upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,a Spatial Durbin Model was used to conduct regression analysis on the upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Research shows that the coupled and coordinated development of the two types of industries in the upper,middle,and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Economic Belt has improved the degree of coupling and coordination between the two types of industries in its neighboring regions,but the upstream region is not significant.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper proposes the following policy recommendations:(1)The cultivation and development of strategic emerging industries should be based on traditional industries,and traditional industries should actively absorb advanced production technologies of strategic emerging industries.Therefore,when cultivating and developing strategic emerging industries,we should make overall plans for the industrial layout and development scale of strategic emerging industries according to the resource endowment of different regions to avoid the problems of repeated construction and vicious competition.(2)Improve the utilization of physical capital.Improving the utilization efficiency of physical capital in the coordinated development of two types of industries,and giving play to its fundamental role in the coordinated development of industries.(3)Strengthen the cultivation of high-quality talents.It is particularly important for talent cultivation,introduction and creation of an institutional environment that attracts talent.Specifically,first of all,around the development of the industry,we should train multi-level specialized talents to support higher vocational education and enterprise employee training;secondly,establish a diversified talent incentive mechanism to provide good development space for outstanding talents.All in all,it is necessary to gradually form an environment that respects and values talents in various regions,so that they can play a proper role in promoting the coordinated development of the two types of industries.(4)Establish a sound industrial innovation system.First of all,the construction of regional technology innovation platforms should be strengthened.By linking scientific research institutes,universities and enterprises to form a technology diffusion mechanism,the regional innovation platforms can better play the role of technological innovation.Secondly,the important role of enterprises in technological innovation should be highlighted,enterprises should be encouraged to set up technology research and development centers and other scientific research sites,give play to the advantages of large enterprises in cutting-edge core technology innovation capabilities,and encourage small and medium-sized enterprises to carry out applied technology innovation to form large,medium and small enterprises.The technological innovation capabilities of enterprises are complementary.(5)Improve the level of financial development.First,by guiding and encouraging financial innovation to meet the demand for funds in the process of industrial development,and facing the real problem of corporate financing over-reliance on indirect financing by banks,a multi-level capital market should be established to promote the adjustment of financing structure,which can accelerate financial Institutional and financial instrument innovation.Second,by establishing a strategic emerging industry technology financial platform,the connection between strategic emerging industry technology projects and the social capital market has been strengthened,and social resource support has been provided for strategic emerging industry technology innovation.(6)Formulate scientific and reasonable industrial support policies.Policy support has not played a positive role in the coordinated development of the two types of industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.Therefore,government departments at all levels should continuously improve the guidance and promotion mechanism when cultivating strategic emerging industries and transforming traditional industries.Formulate scientific and reasonable industrial policies for the development of strategic emerging industries,promote new technologies and products,expand their market space,and guide the direction of investment in social resources.At the same time,the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries cannot be ignored.In terms of personnel training and capital allocation,traditional industries should enjoy the same preferential policies as strategic emerging industries to promote the coordinated development of the two types of industries.(7)Improve the comprehensive capacity for regional development.First of all,the level of regional economic development and urbanization as the basis for coordinated industrial development have important effects on the coordinated development of the two types of industries.Therefore,the Yangtze River Economic Belt region should improve the quality and effects of economic development on the basis of the original;Secondly,although opening to the outside world may have a certain impact on the development of the region's industries in the short term,in the long run,opening up will increase the level of technology required for the development of the region's industries,which is conducive to coordinated industrial development.Therefore,further improve the quality of opening up,encourage enterprises to "go global" to enhance international exchanges and cooperation,and promote the international development of industries in the region.