Comprehensive Evaluation Of The Implementing Effect Of The Central Rising Strategy

The strategy of the rise of the central region is one of the three major regional economic policies in China,which is of great significance to the coordinated development of regional economy in China.From 2006 to 2018,the strategy of the rise of the central region has been implemented for twelve years.In the past ten years,has the strategy effectively promoted the economic development of the central region and improved the phenomenon of "the collapse of the central region" ? The evaluation of the implementation effect of the strategy can summarize the achievements and shortcomings since the implementation of the strategy,so that we can re-examine the new development situation at home and abroad in the new historical period,grasp the key issues in the economic and social development of the central region,so as to promote the coordinated development of the central region and the national economy.This paper adopts the technical route of "theoretical analysis-literature review-research design-Empirical Analysis-conclusion enlightenment",and combines qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis.he introduction mainly introduces the research background,research purpose,research significance,research ideas and research methods,as well as the possible innovations and shortcomings of this paper.The first chapter analyses the theoretical basis of regional economic pattern and regional economic policy in China,mainly including the theory of regional economic development,the theory of government-market relationship.The theory of government-market relationship includes Marxist economic theory,Keynesian economic theory,state theory and transaction cost theory of new institutional economics.The guiding ideology of the strategy of the rise of ministries is the theory of gradient transfer.Chapter two makes a statistical analysis of the current situation of the development of the central region from four aspects,namely,regional gross domestic product,per capita disposable income,agricultural modernization and industrial restructuring.Chapter 3 continues the research ideas of Chapter 2,and constructs the PSM-DID model to test the central region's GDP,per capita disposable income,agricultural modernization and industrial restructuring.Chapter VI is the conclusion and suggestions.Through the summary and analysis of the empirical results of this paper,it puts forward corresponding suggestions for the effective implementation of the strategy of the rise of central China in the future.Based on the panel data of 29 provinces and municipalities in China(Tibet and Hainan are deleted due to incomplete data)from 2004 to 2016,this paper evaluates the implementation effect of the strategy from four aspects: regional gross domestic product,per capita disposable income,agricultural development and rational optimization of industrial structure by PSM-DID method,and draws the following conclusions:(1)The strategy of the rise of the central region has not made the economy of the central region.The total amount has been growing rapidly,which is related to the unreasonable industrial structure in the central region and the crowding-out effect of excessive government expenditure.(2)Policies have effectively improved the per capita income of residents in the central region.Human capital has the greatest impact on the per capita income of residents,while urbanization has not promoted the improvement of the per capita income of residents.(3)The strategy promotes the development of agriculture in the central region,but the growth of agriculture in the central region still depends more on the increase of crop planting area and the growth of agricultural population.The level of agricultural science and technology and the coordination of regional economy need to be further improved.(4)Since the implementation of the strategy,the adjustment of industrial structure in the central region has not been obvious.Government financial expenditure has affected the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the central region,which is related to the structure of government expenditure and the correct handling of the relationship between the government and the market.Combined with the research conclusions,this paper puts forward corresponding suggestions on the growth of GDP,the increase of per capita disposable income of residents,the modernization of agriculture and the optimization of industrial structure in the central region.