Risk Assessment Of "Going Out" Of Grain & Oil Enterprises Under The Background Of "Belt & Road"

The intensification of the anti-globalization trend and the continuous escalation of regional trade frictions have made the grain and oil industry,which is too concentrated in China's import market,facing enormous challenges.In order to improve the status quo of importing countries and relying on a small number of countries,China's grain and oil enterprises should actively "go global" and use and develop international resources to achieve diversified development of grain and oil imports.The strong complementarity between China and the countries along the “Belt and Road” in terms of agricultural resource endowment and agricultural science and technology has provided favorable conditions for grain and oil enterprises to go abroad.With the increasingly prominent food security issues,exploring and exploiting the “One Belt and One Road” arable land resources and constructing the Silk Road Economic Belt grain and oil passages is of great significance in alleviating the increasingly close food crisis.The main contents of this paper are as follows:Chapter ? introduces the relevant research background,purpose and significance,sorts out the research trends related to the “going out” risk assessment of agricultural enterprises at home and abroad,and puts forward the research ideas and methods of this paper.Chapter? is about enterprise risk,grain and oil.The concept of “going out” of enterprises and enterprises was explained,and the related theories of comprehensive risk management theory,investment development cycle theory and evolution theory of technology change were introduced.Chapter? is based on statistical data and research data of grain and oil enterprises.The development status of China's major grain and oil industry,the development status of China's grain and oil enterprises and the main characteristics and problems encountered by China's grain and oil enterprises in the "going out".Chapter?,the qualitative research model based on grounded theory,with 40 Chinese and foreign related The literature and the interview data of 10 companies are the original data,using the three-level coding technology to derive 107 concepts,22 categories and policy legal risks,cultural risks,market competition risks,resource environmental risks and internal risks.Grain and oil enterprise “going out” risk evaluation index system;Chapter?,using quaternary integration-entropy Surgery evaluation model,the risk of grain and oil enterprises "going out" empirical study was carried out.The analytic hierarchy process and entropy technique are used to obtain the subjective and objective weights of the evaluation indicators.Then the gray correlation and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method are used to evaluate the “going out” risk of grain and oil enterprises.ChapterVI discusses the policy understanding through multiple linear regression models.The impact of degree,corporate risk management and government policy support on the “going out” risk value of grain and oil companies.ChapterVII taking A and M companies as examples,tests the constructed risk assessment model and analyzes the practices of two companies in controlling risks.ChapterVIII summarizes the research conclusions and proposes from the government's perspective.We have improved the “going out” policy support system for grain and oil enterprises,improved the “going out” service system for grain and oil enterprises,and cultivated overseas investment entities;from the perspective of enterprises,we have provided an in-depth understanding of host countries' foreign investment policies and agricultural characteristics,respecting host country customs for localized management and management,Strengthen the risk management and control of “going out” and formulate long-term “going out” strategic planning and other policy recommendations to reduce the “going out” of grain and oil enterprises.The research results show that the risk of “going out” of grain and oil enterprises mainly includes five categories: political and legal risks,cultural risks,market competition risks,resource and environmental risks and internal risks.The internal risks and market competition risks are the “going out” of grain and oil enterprises.The criterion index index with the highest risk contribution rate in the process;the DHGF-entropy technology evaluation model has practical applicability to the “going out” risk of grain and oil enterprises,and the “going out” of China's grain and oil enterprises currently faces higher risks as a whole;Degrees,corporate risk management and government policy support have a significant negative impact on the “going out” risks of grain and oil companies.