An Analysis Of The Linkage Between The Foreign Trade Structure And The Industrial Structure In Yunnan Province

This paper mainly studied the yunnan province trade structure and industrial structure,the relationship between three times of yunnan province is mainly studied in exports and industrial structure optimization and upgrading of the presence of direct cause and effect.Thesis mainly divided into four parts: the first part from the Angle of the theory of combing the theory of foreign trade and development,industrial structure theory and its development;The second part analyzes the foreign trade import and export data of yunnan province from 1986 to 2015,from the foreign trade,foreign trade commodity structure,regional structure way of foreign trade structure,foreign trade several aspects analyzes the current situation of the development of foreign trade in yunnan province;And during the distribution pattern of industrial structure,from the industry output accounted for three times,three times industry industry change several Angle analysis summarizes the development status of industrial structure in yunnan province,and points out the corresponding problems.The third part USES cointegration theory and granger causality test,confirmed that the industrial structure in yunnan province and long-term stable relationship in the structure of foreign trade.Through research,this paper get the following conclusion: into exports and the structure of three industries in yunnan province has the long-term stable relationship,the first industry and exports and imports are negative correlation,the first industry,the second industry imports and exports are related,the second industry and negative correlation,the third industry and the import and export are negative correlation,granger test show that the import and export of yunnan province and yunnan province of primary industry,secondary industry and tertiary industry has a long-term and stable relations,import and export has promoted the first industry;The second industry have driven to import,no impetus for export;For import and export function to promote the third industry.The fourth part for the analysis of empirical conclusions and policy Suggestions are mainly promote the policy support,optimize the environment of foreign trade environment and the industrial upgrading,attention to the cultivation of talents,to support the trade structure adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure,the introduction of technology,promote the reasonable allocation of resources and guide the foreign trade commodity structure guided by trade in goods to service trade,mode of foreign trade structure from the general trade to processing trade,development of the third industry,promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the province.