Research On Financial Capital Risk Of High-end Equipment Manufacturing Industry Based On GERT Network Model

High-end equipment manufacturing industry plays an important role in China.In recent years,high-end equipment has gradually become the main battlefield of competition among countries.China’s manufacturing industry must pay more and more attention to the development of high-end equipment manufacturing industry to high-end transformation government.The transformation of the industry to the high end is the general trend.The high-end equipment manufacturing industry has always been an important issue for the government and enterprises to solve the problem of large capital demand,low financing efficiency and high capital risk.However,while financial capital injects blood into the high-end equipment manufacturing industry,the potential risks are constantly Breeding,this has been highly valued by the academic community.Once the financial capital risk spreads across the manufacturing industry,the impact on the manufacturing industry and the impact on the entire macro economy will be unimaginable.The introduction of financial capital in high-end equipment manufacturing is prone to risks at that stage?What is the probability of a risk occurring?Based on the previous studies,this paper takes the industrial value chain of high-end equipment manufacturing industry as the main line of the model and introduces z-marks for risk nodes to track and analyze.Construct a risk formation mechanism diagram for high-end equipment manufacturing financial capital and design relevant risk prevention policy mechanisms in a targeted manner.This paper is to track the risk nodes of high-end equipment manufacturing financial capital,to measure the risk and establish a risk prevention mechanism accordingly.Firstly,based on the previous literature research,this paper builds the GERT network basic model of high-end equipment manufacturing value flow based on the departmental relationship of industrial value chain.Secondly,using Mason formula to measure the risk value and fluctuation of high-end equipment manufacturing value appreciation Variance,and gray correlation analysis method is used to measure the correlation between financial capital and its value-added risk.Thirdly,using z-marking method,financial capital is used as source node and time as parameters to measure the time first arrive、financial capital fluctuation variance and risk coefficient of node stagnation;Finally,based on the GERT network model,construct the financial capital risk formation mechanism diagram of high-end equipment manufacturing industry from the perspective of financial capital stagnation and industrial capital spillover,so as to propose effective risk prevention suggestions.