| The pig industry is a pillar industry in China's animal husbandry.According to the National Bureau of Statistics,China's pig slaughter volume was 685 million heads and pork production was 52.99 million tons in 2016.China's pig production and pork production also have a place in the world marke for it huge market scale;According to the Brekke Agricultural Database,in 2016,the number of live pigs in Jilin Province was 9.48700 heads;the slaughter volume of live pigs was 161.934 million;pork production was 1.3056 million tons,and pork is a large proportion of meat consumption.It can be seen that the development of the hog industry is of great significance to social stability and improvement of people's living standards.But for a long time,hog prices have been subject to frequent fluctuations due to a variety of factors.According to the data from the China Animal Husbandry Association,since 2003,China's hog price China's hog price has been fluctuating from the lowest point to the highest point,forming a clear cycle,with price increases of 65%、183%、113%、and 83%.In the first half of 2016,the average price of hog pigs in China continued to rise and reached its peak price in June at 21.2 yuan/kg.However,since 2017,hog prices have continued to decline,dropping to ￥14/kg.The 'roller coaster' fluctuations in hog prices have brought market risks to farmers and have seriously affected the enthusiasm of pig farmers for breeding.There is an urgent need to offer corresponding risk prevention tools or measures to avoid the risk brought by price fluctuation to farmers.In China,pig fat insurance and energy sow insurance are available in hog pig insurance.The emergence of live pig price index insurance has made pig insurance gradually show a diversity trend in the insurance market and insurance coverage,and the insurance coverage is also constantly expanding,and the emergence of new insurance products is more targeted to the insured objects.Hog price index insurance has been implemented in 20 provinces and cities across the country,including Jiangsu,Shandong,Sichuan,Beijing,Shanghai and Dalian.Practice has proved that the implementation of live pig price index insurance can provide risk protection for farmers and is an innovative policy insurance.In 2016,the number of live pigs in Jilin Province was 9,408,700,a decrease of 2.5% from 2015,and the number of live pigs in Jilin Province was 16,193,400,a decrease of 2.7% compared with that in 2015.Now that the pig breeding in Jilin has declined,in order to stabilize the pig breeding in Jilin Province,the implementation of the pig price index insurance is conducive to the protection of the interests of the pig farmers in Jilin and the stable pig breeding market.In view of this,this article conducts field research on pig farmers in Jilin Province to understand and analyze the demand of hog farmers for hog pig price index insurance,so as to propose corresponding countermeasures for Jilin Province to implement live pig price index insurance system.Therefore,based on the basic research of the hog pig price index insurance and the questionnaire survey of the pig farmers in Jilin Province,this paper finds the cognition degree of the farmers to the pig price index insurance,and analyzes the demand of the farmers for the hog price index insurance,hoping to provide a theoretical basis for developing the pig price index insurance in Jilin province.The study was conducted through literature review,questionnaire survey,statistical analysis and binary logistic analysis.The research content mainly includes:The first chapter is the introduction of the dissertation,expounding the research background,significance,content,methods,and progress of related issues.The second chapter is the definition of related concepts.A theoretical overview of insurance for agricultural insurance,agricultural product price index insurance,live pig price insurance and live pig price index insurance is provided.The third chapter analyses the market acceptance of hog price index insurance in the major pilot places so as to lay the foundation for future research.The fourth chapter is the implementation of the survey and descriptive statistical analysis.The data and samples of pig farmers surveyed were analyzed.From the sample survey implementation and sample selection,the sample characteristics were summarized,and descriptive statistical analysis was performed on the survey samples.The fifth chapter is an empirical analysis of pig farmers' demand intention for live pig price index insurance.Using the survey data,a binary logistic regression model was established to empirically analyze the willingness of pig producers' hog price index insurance and its influencing factors.The sixth chapter is conclusion and policy enlightenment.According to the empirical analysis results,the corresponding conclusions are drawn and policy suggestions are proposed accordingly.The conclusions of the study are as follows:First,pig farmers in Jilin Province have a higher awareness of live pig price index insurance,and have a stronger desire for the insurance.Second,the factors affecting the demand of farmers for hog price index insurance include: the age of farmers,the proportion of pig breeding income to the total household income,the propaganda of hog price index insurance,the scale of pig breeding,and the farmers Future expectations of prices,etc.Among them,the younger farmers have a higher demand for the pig price index insurance.The greater the proportion of income from pig farming in the household income,the greater the demand of pig farmers for pig price index insurance.The greater the publicity of hog price index insurance,the greater the demand of farmers for hog price index insurance.The larger the scale of live pig farming,the greater the demand of farmers for pig price index insurance.The price of live pigs is expected to decrease in the future,and farmers' demand for hog price index insurance will increase.Based on the previous research,this paper puts forward the policy inspiration for promoting policy-based live pig insurance:First,Jilin Province must implement a live pig price index insurance system;Secondly,when implementing the live pig price insurance system,it is necessary to design the pig price index insurance product in combination with the actual situation in Jilin Province;Thirdly,increase the publicity of hog price index insurance and increase farmers' risk awareness;Fourth,we must establish and improve the live pig price index insurance legislation and related laws and regulations,and increase government support;Finally,we must establish a catastrophe risk fund and establish and improve the hog futures market. |
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