Analysis And Prediction Of International Tourism Industry Structure In Five Provinces Of Northwest China

Recent years,with the rapid development of China's international tourism industry and its growing scale,the structural contradictions of the international tourism industry in five northwestern provinces of china has also became a increasingly prominent.In order to accelerate the development of the international tourism industry in those provinces and achieve industrial upgrading to promote the development of China's economy,this paper takes the international tourism industry in five northwestern provinces of china as the research object,using information entropy,location entropy and similarity from two levels of time and space Degree of Coefficient and Deviation Analysis Method to Analyze the System Stability,Relative Advantages,Structural Differences and Competitiveness of International Tourism Industrial Structure in Five Provinces of Northwest China.Then,the gray composition data model is used to predict the proportion of income of each sector of the international tourism industry in those provinces from 2016 to 2018.The analysis shows that:First,the internal structure of the international tourism industry in the five northwestern provinces of china is developing rapidly,but the coordination between departments is still not good and there is no industrial chain that is coordinated and developed with each other.Secondly,the overall professionalism of the international tourism industry in the five northwestern provinces Lower,and the difference between the departments is larger,the advantages of the specialized departments are not obvious.Thirdly,the system of international tourism in the five northwestern provinces is less stable and has no competitive advantage in the whole country.Fourthly,The similarities between the international tourism indusay agglomeration and the industrial structure in the province have hindered the development of the international tourism industry in those five northwestern provinces.The forecast shows that the proportion of traffic in the international tourism industrial structure in the five northwestern provinces is declining,but still occupies the first place.The proportion of departments with small demand elasticity,such as accommodation and catering,is gradually decreasing.The proportion of sectors with large demand elasticity such as shopping and entertainment is increasing.It can be seen that the proportion of various departments in the international tourism industry in the five northwestern provinces is toward rationalization Development,but there are still major differences that require a long time reasonable planning and adjustment.In order to solve the above-mentioned problems,we must vigorously develop the international tourism industry in the five northwestern provinces.Based on the structure of tourist elements,this paper rationally allocates elements;strengthens the industrial integration and win-win cooperation between provinces and autonomous regions;strengthens the financial support such as credit support and financial support;Big data background information sharing,precision marketing,etc.to provide some suggestions.