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Research On The Relationship Between Urbanization And Industrial Structure Evolution In Henan Province

Posted on:2019-01-26Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X C GuoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2429330548468016Subject:Industrial Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Judging from the general laws of the process of urbanization in the world,the process of urbanization at different stages of development corresponds to different economic activity structures.In general,industrialization will cause a change in the industrial structure.The change in industrial structure will further drive the change in the employment structure.A large number of rural surplus labor will be transferred to cities and towns to join the employment of non-agricultural industries,thereby increasing the urbanization rate.In the process of dynamic evolution of industrial structure,the development of urbanization has an important leading role in the adjustment,optimization,and promotion of the three industries;and the rational adjustment of industrial structure also needs to be based on cities and relying on urbanization.The development of urbanization plays an active role in promoting development.At present,our country is in the period of optimization and adjustment of industrial structure.The industrial structure is facing the pressure of transformation and upgrading.The lower level of urbanization and the unreasonable industrial structure have severely constrained the healthy development of China's economy and society;from another perspective,the level of urbanization in China.At a relatively low stage,if the industrial structure cannot be optimized and adjusted in time,it will also affect the improvement of urbanization and hinder the progress of urbanization.The mutual influence between industrial structure optimization and urbanization can only promote coordinated economic and social development.This paper takes Henan Province as the research object,and conducts an empirical study on the relationship between the evolution of industrial structure and urbanization in Henan Province.This article first summarizes the domestic and foreign scholars' theoretical research on industrial structure and urbanization.Based on this,it discusses the relationship between industrial structure evolution and urbanization in Henan Province.Firstly,a descriptive statistical analysis was conducted on the level of urbanization and the status quo of industrial structure in Henan Province.Next,the relationship between industrial structure and urbanization in Henan Province was studied using the econometric model vector autoregressive model analysis.The specific steps are as follows: First,explain the connotation of industrial structure optimization and urbanization;Second,divide the comprehensive urbanization level of Henan Province into two aspects: population city and economic urbanization,and divide the comprehensive index of industrial structure of Henan Province into two aspects of the advanced industrial structure and the rationalization of the industrial structure are to conduct specific quantitative analysis.After the index system was constructed,each index was quantified,and then the original data was processed using the [0-1] interval conversion method.Then,the principal component analysis was used to separately analyze the industrial structure integration index of Henan Province and the cities of Henan Province.The comprehensive level indicators have been analyzed to calculate the scores of the comprehensive index of industrial structure in Henan Province and the comprehensive level of urbanization in Henan Province,and the secondary indicators include population urbanization,economic urbanization,advanced industrial structure,and rationalization of industrial structure.The score value.The empirical results show that both the industrial structure integration index and the urbanization integration index are stable under the first-order difference.From the impulse response analysis,we conclude that when the index of industrial integration is impacted,the industrial integration index is affected by itself.Larger,and the impact of fluctuations in the downward trend,with the passage of time,the index of industrial integration affected by their own degree becomes smaller and smaller.When the index of urban integration is impacted,the index of industrial integration is affected by the index of urban integration and has a lagging effect,and the impact is on an upward trend,that is,as time passes,the impact becomes larger and larger..When the index of urban integration is impacted,the index of urban integration is greatly affected by itself,and the impact is slowly increasing.With the passage of time,the impact increases slowly.When the index of industrial integration is impacted,the impact of the index of industrial integration on the index of urban integration shows a downward trend,and the volatility is large,and the impact value gradually decreases with the passage of time.From the variance decomposition we can conclude that among the factors that influence the city's integration index,the previous changes are the main factors affecting the city's integration index;the impact of the industrial integration index on the city's integration index is the gradually decreasing late-stage industrial integration index.The impact on the urban integration index is almost zero and can be ignored.On the basis of this empirical analysis,the relationship between industrial structure and urbanization in Henan Province is drawn,thereby formulating a reasonable industrial policy and urbanization strategy for Henan Province,promoting the optimization and upgrading of Henan's industrial structure,and accelerating Henan Province.The process of urbanization provides value for reference so as to promote the comprehensive and sustainable development of social economy in Henan Province.
Keywords/Search Tags:Urbanization, Evolution of Industrial Institutions, Vector Autoregression
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