Research On The Solution Of The Platform Of "Prediction Markets" With Introducing Blockchain Technology

Blockchain technology is being understood by more and more people as a new revolutionary technology in production relations.As a distributed ledger structure,it has four major characteristics: decentralization,detrust,collective maintenance,and nontampering.The emergence of blockchain technology can bring huge changes to the fields of finance,logistics,and supply chain.The prediction markets,as a new market born from the United States at the end of the 20 th century,is a market for trading specific contracts.The contract determines profit and loss based on the results of uncertain future events,and is now used to predict various events.As a new type of market,the prediction markets has been used in political elections,economy,corporate decision-making,sports,entertainment,medical and health and other fields abroad.The current application of the prediction markets is still in the exploration stage,and there are problems such as lack of systematic operation mechanism and design research,centralization,difficult supervision,poor availability,low security,and privacy leakage.The blockchain can effectively solve the problems faced by the traditional prediction markets.This provides a good opportunity for the development of the prediction markets.This paper takes the introduction of blockchain technology into the platform of prediction markets as the research object,selects the first platform of domestic blockchain prediction markets Deply as a case,studies the technical and management solutions of the platform from a technical and management perspective,and proposes Corresponding optimization measures.From a technical point of view,it is believed that the introduction of blockchain technology on the the platform of Deply can solve the problems of centralization,result manipulation,supervision,high maintenance cost,fragmentation,inflexibility and privacy leakage faced by the traditional prediction market.In addition,from the perspective of management,this paper analyzes the current problems of the platform of Deply in product,product marketing and community operation.And then formulated corresponding strategies from the three aspects of product,product marketing and community operation.The prediction markets itself is in a development stage,especially the domestic understanding of the prediction markets is still in the initial introduction stage.Therefore,it is necessary to wait for time to verify the important role of the prediction markets.Through the research in this article,I hope to provide some reference for the development of the prediction markets based on blockchain technology in China.